A pair of second-place clubs continue their series in St. Louis on Tuesday, and we have a free MLB pick for the matchup between the Cardinals and San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Tuesday, May 31, 2022 – 07:45 PM EDT at Busch Stadium
They met in the playoffs in 2020, and another postseason matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres is looking very possible with both teams currently in second place in their respective divisions and both sides among the favorites on the preseason baseball futures.
St. Louis drew first blood in the set on Monday, and the Cardinals are showing up as favorites again on the BMR live odds board with veteran Adam Wainwright (5-4, 3.12) on the mound. Most shops are carrying St. Louis around -120 as San Diego sends Blake Snell (0-2, 6.00) out to oppose Wainwright and the Cardinals.
Homers Carry Redbirds in Opener
Home runs from Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Gorman were the big blows in a 6-3 St. Louis win on Monday. San Diego actually outhit the Cardinals 11-10, but couldn’t get the key hits to push runs across the plate.
- Monday’s win left St. Louis 302-208 all-time against St. Louis.
- Each team swept home series last year, and chalk has now won nine in a row.
- Monday’s final pushed a 9-run total.
Granted, he’s only had a couple of starts since coming back from a preseason groin injury, but Snell certainly hasn’t looked anything at all like the pitcher who won the AL Cy Young Award in 2018 while employed by the Tampa Bay Rays.
If this was 20 years ago, striking out 12 and only allowing six hits in nine innings of work would be a good sign. But it’s not 20 years ago, and in this day and age of low batting averages and all the swings and misses, those numbers are actually kind of pedestrian.
Snell also hasn’t received any support, with the Padres scoring just one time in his two starts, and that run coming in a 4-1 loss to the Brewers last week when San Diego was a +125 underdog on the MLB odds. Tuesday will be Snell’s first start against the Cardinals since a no-decision in St. Louis way back in August 2017.
As long as there are pitchers like Wainwright, baseball will still resemble the sport it once was instead of the sitcom it has become. The veteran has figured in the decision of all nine starts so far this season, and in a day and age of openers, bulk relievers, and managers on the verge of removing pitchers after they go through a lineup twice, that’s a bit of a rarity.
Milwaukee batters didn’t find Wainwright to be too mysterious last Thursday when the clubs met in St. Louis. The Brewers tagged the Georgian for 10 hits among the 100 tosses he labored through over five innings, and the Cardinals ended up falling by a 4-3 count as -115 home chalk at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review).
Wainwright faced the Padres twice a year ago, getting knocked around in San Diego where he served up three long flies in a 13-3 shellacking, and not figuring into the decision of a 3-2 Cardinals win in St. Louis where he worked six innings of 2-run baseball. He has split his four starts at Busch this season while pitching to a 3.13 ERA (23 IP).
Who Will Be the Umpire?
Chris Segal will be the umpire calling balls and strikes when the Padres and Cardinals reconvene on Tuesday.
The Virginia native is now in his ninth season working games at the major league level and has a heavy trend to the ‘over’ this year at 7-1 O/U, with his plate assignments running 31-17-4 O/U/P at top-rated sportsbooks since the start of the 2020 campaign.
What is the St. Louis Forecast?
The weatherman is predicting warm and muggy for Game 2 of the San Diego and St. Louis series.
The thermometer will still be in the upper-80s when Wainwright delivers the first pitch of the contest, with partly cloudy skies and an 8-12 mph SSW breeze (out to left-center).
What are the Best Bets?
Tuesday’s scoreboard target has been set at 8½, and most shops are pricing the ‘over’ and ‘under’ evenly. I like the final going past the mark.
Until Snell gets untracked, it will be difficult to get behind him and the Padres, so while I’m not entirely convinced Wainwright will shut down the San Diego lineup, he and the Cardinals are still the safer play on the moneyline.
MLB Pick: Cardinals (-118) at BetOnline
MLB Pick: Over 8½ (-110) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.