Padres vs. Dodgers Free MLB Picks for August 6

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The San Diego Padres made a whole bunch of acquisitions before the MLB Trade Deadline to compete against teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, in the first game of their latest series, the Dodgers defeated the Padres, 8-1.

How will the second game of the series play out? Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at for this matchup!

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Saturday, August 06, 2022, 09:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium

The San Diego Padres went all out at the MLB Trade Deadline and added players like Juan Soto, Josh Hader and Josh Bell, among others. I’d say money doesn’t buy championships. But I’d be lying since the Dodgers won a championship pretty recently.

Anyway, the Padres would like to get one back tonight. Here are our picks and predictions for the Padres and Dodgers game. 

The Pitching Match-Up

Which Pitcher Will the Padres Start Tonight?

The Padres will send out Mike Clevinger, who is 3-3 with a 3.13 ERA on the season. The right-hander has been a little bit worse recently, owning a 4.44 xFIP in the last 30 days.

Clevinger has allowed 25% of line drives while only earning 33.3% of ground balls in the last 30 days. However, he’s limited walks and is earning 22.8% of strikeouts. You get the good and the bad with Clevinger.

Pitching for the Dodgers

On the other hand, Andrew Heaney will take the hill. He’s been injured for most of the year. But since coming back, he has a 4.19 xFIP with 32.4% of strikeouts.

On the season, he’s 1-0 with a .77 ERA, however, he really hasn’t pitched much. Still, he’s done very well when on the mound this season. Heaney has allowed nearly 15% of walks in the last 30 days while giving up 29.4% of line drives. There’s room for him to finally struggle. 

Who has the more Favorable Lineup?

The Padres are hitting a .212 ISO and wOBA of .403 against lefties in the last 30 days with their projected lineup. Only Wil Myers has struggled against lefties, but he just returned from the injured list and has a limited about of plate appearances against lefties.

The rest of the lineup has consistently hit a wOBA of at least .350 each against left-handers. Newly acquired bats like Juan Soto, Josh Bell and Brandon Drury, had all destroyed lefties with their old teams. That should still be the case with their new team.

Destroying Righties

On the other hand, the Dodgers have a .203 ISO and wOBA of .336 against righties in the last 30 days. The Dodgers have also limited strikeouts to 19.9% and have walked 11% of the time against righties in the last month.

  • Freddie Freeman
  • Max Muncy
  • Joey Gallo
  • Gavin Lux

Dodgers' lefties like the ones mentioned above have potential against Clevinger, who has struggled more against left-handed batters in the last 30 days.

Game Prediction

The Padres exploded offensively in their first game with their new lineup. However, they’ve struggled ever since. This team is going to be extremely fun to watch and their time is coming.

Against lefties, the Padres are going to be elite. And I think it’s time Andrew Heaney puts together a bad game. Heaney has escaped a lot of damage, but it’s going to be hard to avoid problems tonight with so many weapons in the Padres lineup.

The Padres have walked 14% of the time against lefties and have minimized strikeouts to just 18.5% in the last 30 days. San Diego should have a serious offensive output tonight despite a lackluster performance yesterday.

On the other hand, the Dodgers continue to dominate offensively as well. They’ll have plenty of power from the left side against Clevinger, which should help their case. Clevinger has allowed a .271 ISO to his last 53 lefties. Again, all of those left-handed batters I mentioned above have great potential in this game. 

The Pick

With that said, I’m looking at betting the over for this game. Heaney has escaped so much damage but hasn’t always been completely on point. If he starts to walk batters, he won’t be able to escape and will eventually allow some big hits with runners in scoring position.

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Meanwhile, it’s always hard to prevent the Dodgers from scoring. Look at what they did to Sean Manaea last night. They’ve got solid platoon players against righties and lefties and will make it hard on any pitcher, any night.

Again, with my MLB picks, I’m riding the Over 9.

Don’t look at Heaney’s ERA. He’s going to fold eventually. Now that he’s going up against a Padres lineup that has a wOBA of .405, it’s going to be difficult.

MLB Pick: Over 9 (-105) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 9 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.