Orioles vs. Mariners MLB Best Bets for June 27

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Austin Hays #21 of the Baltimore Orioles hits a solo home run in the fifth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays. Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images/AFP

Don’t look now, but the Baltimore Orioles have the same record as the Seattle Mariners.  Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the best sportsbooks and break down Monday’s game between the Orioles and Mariners!

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners

Monday, June 27, 2022 – 10:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park

After being one of the worst teams in MLB every season since 2018, the seemingly perpetually tanking Orioles are now one of the three most-improved clubs in baseball.

It’s tough to notice, since they were starting so far down in the rankings, but Baltimore has jumped from a worst-in-majors .321 winning percentage last season to .459 this year, just six games below .500. Only the Yankees and Mets have improved by more than Baltimore’s 138-point jump. 

The Mariners, meanwhile, opened the season with hopes of competing in the West, after posting a .556 winning percentage last year and sporting a roster loaded with young prospects.

Instead, Seattle finds itself six games below .500, and its 97-point drop in winning percentage is the fourth-worst in baseball, ahead of only the Giants, Reds and Athletics. The two teams open a three-game series in Seattle to start the week after taking very different routes to arrive in the same place. 

Winning Again

It’s a distant memory for most fans in Baltimore, but the Orioles now arrive at the ballpark each day with a legitimate chance to win. They’re still quite a way from contending, especially in the meat grinder of the AL East, but the O’s are pushing to get back to .500, which would be a major accomplishment for the year.

Baltimore is coming off of a four-game winning streak—its longest in more than 250 games, dating back to 2020. The Orioles had won eight of 10 before losing to the White Sox on Sunday to snap the streak. 

“We come to the park every day and expect to win,” Trey Mancini said. “That’s not a feeling we’ve had here in a long time. … It’s been a while since we’ve really been close to .500, not that it’s the goal or any sort of ultimate goal by any means.”

Baltimore has been led by an offense that, when it’s on, is enough to push the O’s to victory. Baltimore has a 23-8 record when scoring five or more runs and is 24-10 when getting at least eight hits.

The pitching is also keeping the Orioles in games—Baltimore scored fewer than five runs in four of the eight wins over the recent 10-game hot streak, throwing three shutouts over that stretch.

The Orioles will try to keep things rolling with right-hander Tyler Wells on the mound. He’s 5-4 with a 3.34 ERA and has won his last three starts and is 4-0 in his last five, including five scoreless innings his last time out, against Washington.

Signs of Life

The Mariners find themselves mired in fourth place in the American League West, although Seattle has been on a hot streak recently. The Mariners lost 2-1 to the Angels on Sunday—the first loss of their six-game road trip in the last game before returning to Seattle.

The Mariners beat Oakland and the Angels in the first five games of the trip, continuing to post a winning record against sub-.500 teams. Seattle is just 16-26 against winning teams this year, but against teams, like Baltimore, who have lost more than they’ve won, the M’s are 18-14.

Seattle had an epic brawl with the Angels over the weekend, and lengthy suspensions are sure to result, but it’s doubtful that any of them will begin being served in Monday’s series opener.

Even if the league comes down with a decision, the appeals process will likely keep everyone available in the short term. Seattle will start George Kirby on Monday. The rookie right-hander is 2-2 with a 3.12 ERA on the year. 

The Picks

The Mariners have the advantage of returning home, and the weekend’s brouhaha with the Angels could fire the team up, but we’re going to go with the Orioles, who have the edge on the mound and have been playing good baseball. Especially at the current moneyline, they’re a bargain MLB pick.

MLB Pick: Orioles (+140) with BetOnline

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Orioles (+140)
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MLB Pick: Over 7.5 (-105) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 7.5 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.