The Washington Nationals upset the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road to start the first game of the series. Can the Nationals shock the Dodgers for a second straight game? Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the best sportsbooks!
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, July 26, 2022 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The Story So Far
The Washington Nationals shocked the Los Angeles Dodgers last night, winning the first game of the series, 4-1. That snapped the Dodgers’ eight-game winning streak that carried over from before the All-Star break.
Tonight, the Dodgers will look to start a new streak against the Nationals. They’re not going to want to lose a home series to Washington. Here are our MLB picks and predictions for tonight’s game between the Nationals and Dodgers.
The Nationals will send out Josiah Gray to the mound for tonight’s game. Gray is 7-6 on the season with a 4.40 ERA on the year. The right-hander has actually been better recently, holding a 3.88 xFIP with 32% of strikeouts. However, power is getting to him.
He’s allowed a wOBA of .462 and ISO of .400 to lefties in the last 30 days. Righties even have a .211 ISO in that same time frame against Gray.
On the flip side, Mitch White will take the hill for the Dodgers. White is likely the weakest link for the Dodgers. He’s 1-2 with a 3.78 ERA and has at least kept the Dodgers around in games where he starts.
In the last 30 days, White has had a 5.78 xFIP with 15.1% of strikeouts and 10.5% of walks. He won’t induce many ground balls but has limited power, unlike Gray.
The Nationals are weak as a lineup against righties. As a projected lineup. The Nationals are hitting a .151 ISO and wOBA of .306 in the last 30 days against righties.
Juan Soto and Josh Bell are the two consistent hitters for the Nationals. Other than those two, the entire lineup is not consistently producing.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are hitting a .227 ISO and wOBA of .360 against righties in the last 30 days. Six batters in the lineup are hitting an above-average ISO against righties and that’s the one area that gets Gray every time.
Lefties have destroyed Gray recently. Freddie Freeman, Jake Lamb, and Gavin Lux have favorable matchups. Max Muncy and Cody Bellinger don’t, but still, have potential going up against the right-hander.
Gray has earned a ton of strikeouts recently. He’s struck out 32% of batters in the last 30 days but has still given up 22.2% of line drives in that time frame. Gray won’t induce a high amount of grounders either and, of course, gives up a ton of power to both sides of the plate.
The Dodgers have power that can hit off Gray. Lefties, as mentioned above, have plenty of potential going up against Gray. But also Will Smith and Justin Turner are two right-handed bats that can hit for power against Gray.
Gray will ultimately feel overwhelmed facing this kind of lineup. The Dodgers are patient, but on top of that, the entire lineup is capable of a home run against righties.
On the other hand, White won’t earn a high amount of strikeouts and walks plenty of batters. But he’s facing a Nationals lineup that just hasn’t produced. Juan Soto and Josh Bell are the two players hitting against righties but those two bats might not even be on the roster in a couple of weeks.
The Nationals don’t have much potential but I’m not confident in Mitch White to hold things down.
I’m more confident in the lefties on the Dodgers to do some damage against Gray. Gray has been much better with high strikeouts in the last 30 days, but a couple of long balls will do the trick. If he makes a couple of mistakes in tonight’s game, the Dodgers will make him pay.
Therefore, with my MLB Play of the Day, I’m taking the Dodgers Over 2.5 in the first five innings on the team total.
Final Score Prediction: Dodgers 6, Nationals 2
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.