National League Division Series Game 2 Best Bets: Will Dodgers Make It 2-0 Against Padres?

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Clayton Kershaw #22 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches during the first inning against the St. Louis Cardinals. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

After the Dodgers won Game 1 of the NLDS, what can we expect in Game 2 between Yu Darvish and Clayton Kershaw?

Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the top-rated sportsbooks!

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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Wednesday, October 12, 2022 – 08:37 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium

Padres vs. Dodgers Game 1 Analysis

The Los Angeles Dodgers hung on to a 5-3 win against the San Diego Padres in the first game of the NLDS. The NLDS is a best-of-five series.

Therefore, the Dodgers only need two more wins to move on to the NLCS.

Tonight’s pitching matchup is exciting. We’ll get Yu Darvish on the mound for the Padres against Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers.

Pitchers' Season vs. Postseason

Throughout the postseason, some dominant starters in the regular season struggled with their starts in the postseason.

However, others started the postseason right where they left off. Darvish looked good in his first postseason start against the Mets and earned a win.

Pitchers like Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander didn’t look great in their first starts of the postseason.

What should we expect out of Darvish and Kershaw tonight? Here are our MLB picks and predictions for the NLDS Game 2 between the Padres and Dodgers.

Who Starts for the Padres?

The Padres will send Yu Darvish to the mound for Game 2 of the NLDS. Darvish went 16-8 with a 3.10 ERA on the season and already has a win against the Mets in the postseason.

In the last 30 days, Darvish has had a 3.66 xFIP with 26.4% of strikeouts and 2.4% of walks. He’s allowed a BABIP of .224 despite earning 29.2% of ground balls when balls are batted into play.

It’s hard to hit Darvish, but if he’s hit, he’s hit hard. Darvish has allowed 43.1% of hard contact over the last month. He’s also allowed s .164 ISO to lefties in the previous month. But lefties still only have a wOBA of .221 over his last 70 plate appearances against them.

Meanwhile, righties are hitting a .218 wOBA and ISO of .094 against Darvish over their last 55 plate appearances. Darvish has been excellent during the previous 30 days.

Darvish vs. Dodgers' Batters

However, he’ll take on a Dodgers lineup with seven batters hitting line drives at least 20.4% of the time against righties in the last month. Los Angeles only has three batters striking out over 20% of the time against righties, which is also really good.

The Dodgers don’t have the highest ISO and wOBA. They’ve been average as a projected lineup, but when Los Angeles makes contact, it’s more likely to be a hard-hit line drive or fly ball than a ground ball.

Lefties have power potential between Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy, and Cody Bellinger.

Who Starts for the Dodgers?

On the other hand, the Dodgers will send out their second lefty of the series. Clayton Kershaw finished the regular season with a 12-3 record with a 2.28 ERA.

Kershaw has a 2.96 xFIP with 30.4% of strikeouts over the last 30 days. He’s also walked just 4.3% of batters in that time frame.

The lefty will allow a high amount of line drives. He’s allowed 24% over the last month.

However, his wOBA and ISO numbers on both sides are way above-average for pitchers.

Kershaw vs. Padres' Batters

The Padres are hitting a .240 ISO and wOBA of .352 against lefties over the last 30 days. But all of the hitters with high ISO and high wOBA are players who have struck out at a very high rate over the last month.

For example, Manny Machado has a .370 ISO and wOBA of .461, but he’s struck out 28.6% of the time against lefties over the last 30 days.

Brandon Drury has a .444 ISO and wOBA of .461 in the previous month against lefties but has struck out 31.6% of the time. It’s the same deal with Wil Myers and Jake Cronenworth.

Meanwhile, players like Juan Soto have a low ISO and wOBA but rarely strike out against lefties. San Diego is going to boom or busy tonight. Going up against Clayton Kershaw likely isn’t help the “boom” part. Kershaw has struck out over 30% of batters over the last 30 days.

Padres vs. Dodgers: Prediction and Pick

I will rely on the Dodgers’ left-handed bats to hit for power against Darvish.

I’m also going to bank on Kershaw earning a high rate of strikeouts against the Padres, who have four batters striking out at least 28.6% of the time against lefties.

Give me the Dodgers on the moneyline. Plus, I’ll also take Kershaw to earn five or more strikeouts.

MLB Pick: Dodgers ML (-190) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Dodgers ML (-190)
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MLB Pick: Clayton Kershaw Over 4.5 K’s (-140) at BetOnline

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Clayton Kershaw Over 4.5 K’s (-140)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.