MLB Parlay for Today at (+344) Features Playoff-Ready Yankees and Disappointed Brewers

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Domingo German #55 of the New York Yankees tries to pick off Cedric Mullins #31 of the Baltimore Orioles. Elsa/Getty Images/AFP.

Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in:

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for both games. Feel free to parlay both bets at one of our top-rated sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.

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New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers

Wednesday, October 05, 2022 – 04:05 PM EDT at Globe Life Field

Who Starts for the Yankees?

Domingo German starts for New York today. German has been horribly unprofitable for bettors to back, but for reasons that don't have any relevance for this game. He began his season late, his first game took place on July 21.

You might recall, though, that the Yankees found themselves mired in an atrocious extended slump in the second half of the season. Therefore, German didn't have much of a chance to succeed, because he was consistently lacking for run support.

It just so happens, additionally, that most of these games took place on the road. As a result, he is yielding negative units not only overall, but on the road. But the Yanks have won three of the last four games in which German started.

So, while it is too late in the season for him to begin yielding positive units for his backers, it is nevertheless evident that the Yankees reliably win when German starts.

German's Stuff 

German, in fact, does a better job of limiting scoring when he pitches away from home. He effectively relies on four different pitches: he throws a curveball, fastball, changeup, and sinker.

Arguably, German is most famous for his curveball. It is intelligent of him to throw this pitch most often because of his success with it.

Opponents bat .202 and slug .337 against this pitch. They also frequently whiff when he throws it. Among other virtues, his curveball possesses a high spin rate, which makes it harder for batters to track its location.

Spin rate is generally a virtue of German's. In particular, his second-most frequent pitch, his fastball, ranks in the 97th percentile in spin rate.

German's Fastball and Curveball

These two pitches play well off each other.

His fastball and curveball own a double-digit difference in velocity relative to each other, which means that batters have to brace themselves for either option and the steep change in pace which each one creates thanks to being either much slower or faster than the other.

Moreover, as heat maps show, he'll often locate his curveball low in the strike zone while elevating his fastball.

Thus, in addition to creating this change of pace, he'll alter the batter's eye level, which further keeps his opponent off-balance.

German vs. Rangers' Batters 

Ranger batters are struggling against every pitcher now. This poor display of form makes them a consistent go-against option.

One should go against the Rangers also in view of the fact that they match up poorly against German given the pitches that he throws.

This is especially true during their current slump. They have lost seven of their past eight games while struggling especially since September 30 to score more than a couple runs.

Since September 30, they are slugging .319 against German's pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Texas?

Glenn Otto starts for Texas today. Otto pitched against the Yankees on May 8.

He was fortunate to yield a 3.60 ERA in that game because did a horrible job of limiting hard contact, but nevertheless, yielded a .077 BABIP (batting average of balls in play).

His 7.31 FIP in that start reflects how poorly he actually performed.

Yankees' Batters Outlook 

One should expect Yankee batters to thrive tonight because they rank sixth in slugging against Otto's favorite pitches from righties.

Moreover, determined to maintain strong team form, they are a good bounce-back team.

They are enjoying a 4-0 run after a loss, winning in each case by multiple runs.

MLB Pick: Yankees ML (-135) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)


Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Wednesday, October 05, 2022 - 04:10 PM EDT at American Family Field

Unique Situation 

This game presents a strong situational betting opportunity. The Brewers were just eliminated from the playoffs. Going to the playoffs is an expectation for them, making them all the more disappointed to miss out.

Whereas Arizona has had a ton of time to come to terms with its season ending today, the Brewers' disappointment is fresh and more profound in view of its expectations.

Moreover, the Brewers are going for a sweep of Arizona. But, their current disappointment aside, they regularly struggle to bring the same level of quality when they're in this spot.

In the second half of the season, they are 0-4 when going for a three- or four-game series sweep.

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+155) at BetOnline


MLB Parlay Verdict 

With your MLB picks in mind, expect strong wins from the Yankees and Diamondbacks.

Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

MLB Parlay Picks for Today

  • Yankees ML (-135)
  • Diamondbacks ML (+155)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+344) at BetOnline 

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.