Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Marlins vs. Mets and White Sox vs. Twins.
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the side for both games. Feel free to parlay these bets at one of our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Tuesday, September 27, 2022 – 07:10 PM EDT at Citi Field
Who Pitches for the Marlins Today?
Pablo Lopez starts for Miami today.
It might be tempting to back Pablo Lopez because, for an extended period of time, he appeared to be an eminently reliable pitcher at the beginning of the season. Consequently, the inclination to back him may have become entrenched in your minds.
His start to the season was indeed a sizzling one. But, whereas his first half ERA was 2.86 because of his performance through May, his ERA in the second half of the season is 5.57.
Opponents' slugging rate against him is .102 higher in the second half of the season than in the first half. In a similar vein, he is having significantly greater difficulty preventing the long ball.
Lopez's Recent History Against the Mets
Lopez's second-half struggles owe in large part to his inability to handle the Mets. It is evident that they have figured out Lopez.
In his last two starts against them, he yielded a combined total of 14 earned runs in 6.1 innings.
Despite his general trouble preventing the long ball, the Mets did not rely at all on hitting home runs in those two starts.
Mets' Batters Hit Lopez Well
Several Mets' batters have accrued superb track records against Lopez. Look out, among others, for Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil, and Eduardo Escobar to thrive tonight.
- Nimmo bats .318 and slugs .500 in 22 at-bats against Lopez.
- Lindor hits .353 and slugs .647 in 17 at-bats against him.
- The other two batters hit well over .400 and slug well over .800 in at least nine at-bats with Lopez on the mound.
Lopez Matchup Details Against Mets' Batters
One ought to expect Mets' batters to hit Lopez well because they match up excellently against him in view of the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, Lopez throws a fastball and changeup. He throws both pitches nearly four times as often as he throws any other pitch.
Mets' batters rank eighth in slugging against these two pitches from righties.
Who Pitches for the Mets Today?
Carlos Carrasco starts for the Mets today.
Carrasco enters this game in strong form. He's yielded a FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) below 2.70 in each of his last three starts.
Carrasco Against Marlins' Batters
Marlins' batters consistently struggle to be productive at all when facing Carrasco. This year, Carrasco is 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA in four starts against the Marlins.
One should expect Carrasco to succeed against them because they rank 23rd in slugging against his favorite pitches (the fastball, changeup, and slider) from righties.
MLB Pick: Mets RL -1.5 (+105) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Tuesday, September 27, 2022 - 07:40 PM EDT at Target Field
Who Pitches for the White Sox Today?
Lance Lynn starts for the White Sox tonight.
Lynn is facing what is, this year, by far his least favorite opponent in terms of their success against him.
In two starts against the Twins, he yields a 9.90 ERA against them. They scored 5 earned runs against him in his first start against them and 6 in the second.
Lynn Against Twins' Batters
Primarily, Lynn throws a fastball, cutter, and sinker. These three pitches combine to make up just over 80% of his arsenal. Minnesota ranks sixth in slugging .450 against these three pitches from righties.
Against Lynn's two favorite pitches from righties, his fastball and cutter, which together make up close to 70% of his arsenal, Minnesota's slugging rate is slightly higher.
Who Pitches for the Twins Today?
Bailey Ober starts for the Twins today.
Since his first ever professional start last season, Ober has thrived against the White Sox when they visited Minnesota.
He shut them out twice in his last two starts against them last year in Minnesota. Most recently, he yielded one run to them in 5 innings.
Ober Against White Sox' Batters
Ober matches up well against White Sox hitters. He throws a fastball, slider, changeup, and curveball, and they rank 23rd in slugging against these pitches from righties.
MLB Pick: Twins ML (+108) at BetOnline
MLB Parlay Verdict
With your MLB picks in mind, expect strong wins from the Mets and Twins.
Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
MLB Parlay Picks
- Marlins vs. Mets: Mets RL -1.5 (+105)
- White Sox vs. Twins: Twins ML (+108)
MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+326) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.