MLB Parlay for Today at +273 Features Key AL Central Matchup

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Jakob Junis #34 of the San Francisco Giants pitches against the Atlanta Braves. Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images/AFP.

Top Sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Minnesota vs. Cleveland and San Francisco vs. Colorado.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the money-line for both games. Feel free to parlay both bets at our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

Monday, September 19, 2022 – 01:10 PM EDT at Progressive Field

Who Starts for Minnesota?

Sonny Gray starts for Minnesota today. Gray is one of his team's most profitable pitchers for bettors to back. Overall, Minnesota is yielding +2.5 units in his starts. But Gray is most profitable during the daytime.

So far, the Twins are 7-2 in day games in which Gray starts, yielding +4.9 units.

Gray's Form 

Gray enters today's game in solid form. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his past four starts.

Moreover, he's allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last six starts. Seven starts ago, he struggled in Dodger Stadium, where even the likes of ace Sandy Alcantara repeatedly has problems.

Gray's consistency is partly what makes him reliable today. Also, it helps that Cleveland's lineup obviously remains very distant from the Dodger lineup's caliber. The Guardians average 1.26 fewer runs per game than the Dodgers.

Gray in Cleveland

Don't allow consideration of Gray's career numbers in Cleveland's Progressive Field to scare you off of Gray today. His poor career stats in Cleveland are a reflection of struggles that he endured years ago in this venue.

For example, he was poor in 2017 in Cleveland, but we are in 2022 right now.  Earlier this season, he shut out the Guardians over the course of 7 innings in their venue, thus proving that he can flourish in Progressive Field.

Gray vs. Guardians' Batters 

Gray's three primary pitches are his fastball, sinker, and curveball. He throws each of these pitches more than twice as often as he throws any other pitch.

Combined, they make up about 80% of his arsenal. He matches up well against Guardian batters in that they rank 21st in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Cleveland?

Cal Quantrill starts for the Guardians today. While he has been very profitable for bettors to back, this profitability primarily derives from his success in night games in which he yields seven more units than in day games.

Quantrill vs. Twins' Batters 

Quantrill appears unreliable tonight because Twin batters match up well against him in two key respects.

One, they rank ninth in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Two, Quantrill primarily tries to induce fly balls as opposed to ground balls, and, in terms of slugging rate, Minnesota is vastly stronger against fly ball-inducing pitchers than ground-ball inducing ones.

MLB Pick: Twins ML (+102) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Monday, September 19, 2022 - 08:40 PM EDT at Coors Field

Who Starts for San Francisco?

Jakob Junis, his team's most profitable pitcher, starts for the Giants tonight. Junis has thrived especially against losing teams.

Whereas he struggled against the likes of Atlanta, he shut out or allowed one run against Arizona, Miami, the Chicago Cubs, Oakland, and Washington.

Colorado, also a losing team, would add to this pattern by struggling to hit Junis.

Junis vs. Rockies' Batters 

Besides benefitting from facing softer, losing competition, Junis matches up well against the Rockies, who generally would much rather face left-handed pitching.

Primarily, Junis throws a slider, sinker, and changeup. These three pitches make up over 98 percent of his arsenal.

Despite playing half its games in high-altitude Denver, Colorado ranks 25th in slugging against Junis' favorite pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Colorado?

Chad Kuhl starts for the Rockies today. Especially recently, regardless of the venue in which he is starting, he is struggling to prevent the long ball.

10 of his last opponents have hit at least one home run off Kuhl.

Kuhl vs. Giants' Batters

Among others, Joc Pederson and Evan Longoria have each hit a home run off of Kuhl.

Mostly, Kuhl merits pessimism tonight because the Giants rank above-average against his favorite pitches from righties and now get to see him in a way more hitter-friendly ballpark than what they're used to.

MLB Pick: Giants ML (-118) at Heritage Sports

MLB Parlay Verdict 

With your MLB picks expect strong wins from Minnesota and San Francisco.

For the above reasons, parlay both teams on the money-line. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

MLB Parlay Picks for Today

  • Twins vs. Guardians: Twins ML (+102)
  • Giants vs. Rockies: Giants ML (-118)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+273) at Heritage Sports

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.