Top Sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in:
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the money-line for the first game and the run-line for the second.
Feel free to parlay both bets at top-rated sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Monday, October 3, 2022 – 08:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field
Who Starts for Minnesota?
Bailey Ober starts for the Twins tonight. Ober might seem like a reliable bet because of his last start, which was a roaringly successful one and it took place against the White Sox.
In his brief career, Ober has had a little bit of experience facing the same lineup in consecutive starts. Tellingly, he has never thrived against the same lineup in consecutive starts.
Last year, he did well in the rematch, but only after that same lineup had rocked him in his previous start.
This season, he limited the Royals on May 22 to 1 run, and then failed, in his next start, to make it past the third inning after the Royals accrued 3 runs against him.
Ober vs. White Sox's Batters
Importantly, Ober's last start took place in Minnesota where he has enjoyed strong success against White Sox batters. But he has struggled in Chicago's Guaranteed Rate Field.
While tonight will be the first time this season in which he has to face the White Sox in their ballpark, in two starts last season in Chicago, he allowed 5 earned runs to them in 3.1 innings and then 3 earned runs in 5 innings.
Despite Ober's success against them in Minnesota, plenty of White Sox batters own significantly strong track records against Ober.
Specifically, Andrew Vaughn, Jose Abreu, and Yoan Moncada slug well over .650 in at least 10 career at-bats with Ober on the mound. Moreover, Yasmani Grandal slugs .571 in seven career at-bats against Ober.
Who Starts for Chicago?
Johnny Cueto starts for the White Sox today. He might look unreliable today because he just faced the Twins, and the Twins scored a lot of runs off him.
However, when facing the same lineup consecutive times, pitchers often yield few runs in the rematch when they allowed many in the first game.
A strong Cueto bounce-back performance seems all the likelier because he actually performed extremely well in this most recent start of his against the Twins.To explain, he yielded a 1.17 FIP in 5.2 innings against the Twins.
Cueto did a superb job of limiting hard contact while excelling at limiting soft contact. But the Twins were fortunate to achieve a ridiculously high .556 BABIP (batting average of balls in play), and so they ended up scoring six runs off Cueto.
Cueto vs. Twins' Batters
Cueto's FIP in this last start of his against Minnesota represents the tip of the iceberg.
Before this start, he allowed 2 runs in 6 innings to the Twins in Chicago before allowing 1 run in 6 innings to them in Minnesota.
Cueto's solid track record against the Twins this season justifies bettors' confidence in him tonight.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics
Monday, October 3, 2022 - 09:40 PM EDT at Oakland Coliseum
Who Starts for the Angels?
Patrick Sandoval starts for the Angels tonight. Sandoval enters tonight's contest in good form, having yielded an FIP under 2.75 in both of his last starts.
He did allow a lot of runs in his last start, which took place against Oakland. But his 2.74 FIP in that start reflects how well he played against them.
Sandoval vs. Athletics' Batters
Sandoval's excellent FIP in this last start of his Oakland aligns with his previous track record against the A's.
Before this last start, Sandoval allowed 1 run in 6.1 innings against the A's before impressively facing them a second consecutive time and allowing 1 run in 7.1 innings against them.
Oakland has won of the worst lefty-hitting lineups. The A's rank 28th at slugging .354 against lefties, and will suffer tonight against this high
quality Angel lefty.
Who Starts for Oakland?
Decisively, in terms of starting pitcher matchup, Oakland is utterly outmatched as it starts Adrian Martinez tonight.
Martinez has allowed a combined total of 19 earned runs in his past 4 starts. His awful form is evident in his blatant struggle with limiting opposing scoring.
MLB Parlay Verdict
MLB Parlay Picks for Today
- Twins vs. White Sox: White Sox ML (-118)
- Angels vs. Athletics: Angels -1.5 (+100)
MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+269) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.