Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Cardinals vs. Padres and Mariners vs. Athletics.
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for the first game and the run line for the second. Feel free to parlay these bets at one of our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
Tuesday, September 20, 2022 – 09:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
Who Pitches for the Cardinals Today?
Adam Wainwright starts for the Cardinals today.
Wainwright may look particularly reliable because of how strong he's been in his recent starts. But there was something crucial about those four starts that do not apply to this start. Namely, they all took place in St. Louis.
Wainwright is notoriously stronger in front of the Cardinal faithful and weaker outside of home. His FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) is 2.92 at home and 4.33 on the road. In a similar vein, Wainwright has been profitable for his bettors to back at home but not when he starts on the road.
Weaker Command on the Road
When he pitches on the road, his command, in particular, tends to falter. This tendency is important because, as someone who doesn't throw very hard, command is something that he relies heavily on.
He walks .90 more batters per 9 innings in road games and, perhaps worst of all, allows .72 more home runs per 9 innings.
This season-long disparity between his effectiveness at home and his performance level away from home is also evident in his career stats.
Wainwright Against Padres' Batters
Throughout his long career, Wainwright has pitched multiple times in San Diego's ballpark, and his history here is bad despite the rather pitcher-friendly reputation of Petco Park. To be exact, he is 1-5 with a 4.28 ERA in six career starts in San Diego.
Active Padres' batters are prepared to contribute to Wainwright's historical misery in Petco Park. Seven different Padres slug .500 or better against Wainwright in at least three at-bats.
Josh Bell, for example, is 8-for-25 with a double and two home runs, amounting to a .320 BA and .600 slugging rate, with Wainwright on the mound.
Who Pitches for the Padres Today?
Mike Clevinger starts for the Padres today.
Clevinger is one of his team's most profitable pitchers for bettors to back. Overall, San Diego is yielding +4.1 units in games in which he starts.
At the moment, St. Louis is consistently struggling to score runs, which is why this team is struggling against lesser opponents, such as Washington, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati.
In both of their past two games, the Cardinals have scored zero runs through 9 innings with Hunter Greene and Luis Cessa shutting them down in consecutive outings.
Clevinger will already be hard for Cardinals' batters to adjust to because they have generally seen very little of him as he used to pitch in the AL.
MLB Pick: Padres ML (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics
Tuesday, September 20, 2022 - 09:40 PM EDT at Oakland Coliseum
Who Pitches for the Mariners Today?
Luis Castillo starts for Seattle today.
Castillo enters today's game in strong form. He has allowed one run or zero runs in three of his past four starts.
Five starts ago, he suffered a tough-luck outing in Oakland in which he allowed 4 runs in 5 innings while yielding an unfortunately high BABIP (batting average of balls in play). However, his 2.31 FIP at that start reflects how well he actually performed.
Castillo Against Athletics' Batters
One must expect Castillo to thrive against Oakland with his fastball, sinker, changeup, and slider.
The A's match up poorly with Castillo in view of which pitches he throws. They rank 29th in slugging against these pitches from righties, despite repeatedly facing inferior variations of these pitches from lesser pitchers.
Who Pitches for the Athletics Today?
JP Sears starts for Oakland tonight after getting demolished in his last two starts.
Facing Texas and the White Sox, he allowed a combined total of 11 earned runs in 6 innings. In his last start against Seattle, he yielded a 5.11 FIP, reflecting Seattle's ability to hit him well.
When the Mariners knock Sears out of the game, they'll get to face baseball's eighth-worst bullpen.
MLB Pick: Mariners RL -1.5 (-120) at BetOnline
MLB Parlay Verdict
With your MLB picks, expect strong wins from San Diego and Seattle.
For the above reasons, parlay the Padres moneyline with the Mariners run line. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
MLB Parlay Picks
- Cardinals vs. Padres: Padres ML (-110)
- Mariners vs. Athletics: Mariners RL -1.5 (-120)
MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+250) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.