Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action.
Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: the Red Sox vs. White Sox and Brewers vs. Padres.
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for both games. Feel free to parlay both bets at an online sports betting site in order to maximize your profit.
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
Tuesday, May 24, 2022 – 08:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field
Who Starts for the Red Sox Today?
Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta showcases superb form. He has yielded a sub-one FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in two of his last four starts.
In each of his most recent two starts, he yielded a sub-three FIP. Moreover, in his last three games, he has allowed a combined total of two earned runs despite lasting 22 innings.
What Pitches Does Pivetta Throw?
Since his debut in 2017, Pivetta has always featured his fastball. This pitch has always been the one he throws most frequently and for good reasons.
Its spin rate is well above average. His fastball is effective because he combines good spin with good location. In addition to distributing this pitch well among different parts of the strike zone, he likes to locate it high. Spin creates the appearance of rising action. So, when he locates his fastball high, batters will swing underneath it. This combination of events helps explain why he allows such a high rate of fly balls.
Since his rookie season, Pivetta has eliminated the sinker from his repertoire. His second favorite pitch is his high-spin, movement-heavy curveball. Befitting a starting pitcher, he is also comfortable with a third pitch, a slider, which he likewise throws over 19% of the time.
Pivetta vs. White Sox' Batters
Besides Pivetta's strong form, I like him today because the White Sox rank 26th in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
The White Sox have struggled in their home ballpark in general -- they're hitting .220 here -- and against righties in general, who they bat .229 against.
Pivetta is just the righty to limit Chicago's scoring tonight.
Who Starts for the White Sox Today?
Tonight's White Sox starter, Dylan Cease, boasts a nice ERA, but he's also had it easy in terms of matchup.
Cease has faced two teams that rank top-five in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties. One of those teams was the Yankees. In that game, Cease allowed 6 earned runs in 4 innings. The other team was actually Boston, and Cease performed well in that game.
However, that game against Boston took place on May 7. At that point of time, the Red Sox were in the midst of a major rut during which they scored 2 runs or fewer in four of five games. They lost all five games.
Which Team Profiles Better?
The Red Sox are hot right now. They've won five straight games, scoring 5 or more runs in each game. During this streak, they are slugging .527 against Cease's pitches from righties.
Lookout, for example, for Rafael Devers. He is slugging .744 in May.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Tuesday, May 24, 2022 – 09:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
Who Starts for the Brewers Today?
Corbin Burnes enjoys a bounce-back opportunity in his start tonight for the Brewers.
When he last yielded an ERA over five in a game, he shut out his next opponent over the course of 7 innings.
Burnes vs. Padres' Batters
In his career in San Diego, Burnes has thrown 7 shutout innings in his career. While the data sample isn't large, it looks extremely promising especially considering all the other details.
Only two Padres' batters are hitting over .167 in their career against Burnes. Jake Cronenworth, for example, is 0-for-6 lifetime against Burnes.
Burnes relies primarily on a cutter-curveball combo. I like him tonight most especially because the Padres rank 22nd in slugging against his pitches from righties.
Who Starts for the Padres Today?
Blake Snell will hope to be sharper in what will be his second start of the season for San Diego tonight after his activation from the IL.
Snell merits pessimism tonight because the Brewers rank eighth in slugging against his favorite pitches from lefties.
His poor form and poor matchup make him worth going against tonight.
MLB Pick: Brewers ML (-130) at Heritage Sports
MLB Parlay Verdict
For your MLB picks, expect road wins from Boston and Milwaukee tonight and parlay the Red Sox ML with the Brewers ML.
Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
MLB Parlay Picks
- Red Sox ML (+148)
- Brewers ML (-130)
MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+339) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.