MLB Parlay for July 12: A Bet That Pays (+486)

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Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Three games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: the Mets vs. Braves, Athletics vs. Rangers, and Astros vs. Angels.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline in the first and third games and the total for the second. Feel free to parlay both bets at one of our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Tuesday, July 12, 2022 – 07:20 PM EDT at Truist Park

Who Is Pitching for the Mets Today?

New York starts David Peterson tonight.

Peterson faced the Braves in his last start, which took place in Atlanta. In that start, he allowed 6 earned runs in 3 innings. This start reflects his most recent form in that he has now yielded an FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) over 5.00 in both of his last two starts.

His last start, moreover, is consistent with his terrible history in Atlanta. He is 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in three career starts in Atlanta's Truist Park.

How Are the Braves Doing?

In view of its lineup and in general, Atlanta is in a great spot today because it is coming off a loss. This team is great at bouncing back.

The Braves are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss. They scored a combined total of 47 runs in these seven games.

Who Is Pitching for the Braves Today?

Atlanta starts Spencer Strider, who has really found his groove as a starter. He has allowed a combined total of one earned run in his last three starts, which totaled 18 innings. Moreover, he yielded a sub-one FIP in all three of those starts.

Critically, his strong streak came even against teams that, in view of his pitching repertoire, match up better with him than the Mets do.

Strider's Favorite Pitch

Strider's fastball is his favorite pitch, and this is a wise choice for Strider because of its quality. This pitch ranks in the 78th percentile in spin rate and 98th in velocity.

So, even if batters can react quickly enough, they'll struggle to track its location given its spin.

MLB Pick: Braves ML (-161) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers

Tuesday, July 12, 2022 - 08:05 PM EDT at Globe Life Field

Who Is Pitching for the Athletics Today?

The A's start James Kaprielian today.

Kaprielian is looking to replicate the rematch success that he cultivated against division rival Seattle. Against this team, he improved in terms of both ERA and FIP in every succeeding start.

Rangers' Batters Against Kaprielian

Tonight, Kaprielian looks promising especially because he matches up well with Texas given the pitches that he throws.

Primarily, he throws a fastball and slider. These are, by far, the two pitches that he throws most frequently.

Texas ranks last in slugging .331 against these two pitches from righties.

Who Is Pitching for the Rangers Today?

Texas starts Glenn Otto tonight.

Otto looks to bounce back at home, as he's always done in his brief career, by performing vastly better in this home start than in his last one.

Athletics' Batters Against Otto

He promises to thrive tonight because he matches up well with Athletics' batters.

His favorite pitches are his slider, fastball, and sinker. These three pitches combine for over three-quarters of his arsenal.

Athletics' batters match up poorly against him because they rank last place in slugging .337 against these pitches from righties.

MLB Pick: Under 8.5 (-103) at BetOnline

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Tuesday, July 12, 2022 - 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium

Who Is Pitching for the Astros Today?

The Astros start Luis Garcia tonight. Garcia has collected the win in each of his last four starts. On the season, he is now yielding +2.8 units in his starts.

Pertinently to my best bet for this game, Houston is 3-0 in his starts against divisional rivals. He looks particularly favorable tonight because he is 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA in three career starts in Angel Stadium.

Who Is Pitching for the Angels Today?

L.A. starts Noah Syndergaard tonight. Syndergaard matches up poorly against the Astros.

He throws, primarily, a sinker, changeup, fastball, and slider. These four pitches make up over 90% of his arsenal.

Houston ranks first in slugging against these pitches from righties.

How Are the Angels Doing?

Los Angeles' entire team shows, collectively, awful rhythm. The Angels have lost each of their last four and nine of their last ten.

MLB Pick: Astros ML (-120) at BetOnline

MLB Parlay Verdict 

With your MLB picks in mind, expect strong wins from Atlanta and Houston and a low-scoring pitching duel between Oakland and Texas.

For the above reasons, parlay the Braves and Astros on the money-line and the A's/Rangers under. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

MLB Parlay Picks for Today

  • Mets vs. Braves: Braves ML (-161)
  • Athletics vs. Rangers: Under 8.5 (-103)
  • Astros vs. Angels: Astros ML (-120)

MLB Pick: Three-Legged Parlay (+486) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.