MLB Parlay for Today at (+374) Includes Inconsistent Yankees

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Gerrit Cole #45 of the New York Yankees pitches during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays. Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

Today’s baseball card offers plenty to like. Here’s our best parlay for your pleasure.

The top sportsbooks have released their odds for today’s baseball action, and two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in:

  • Mariners vs. Tigers
  • Yankees vs. Angels

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for the first game and the total for the second.

Feel free to parlay both bets at your favorite online sports betting site in order to maximize your profit.

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers

Wednesday, August 31, 2022 – 07:10 PM EDT at Comerica Park

Who Starts for Seattle?

Marco Gonzales, his team's least profitable pitcher this season, starts for Seattle today.

This year, Gonzales is performing much worse than his surface stats indicate.

While his 3.97 ERA suggests that he is decent, this ERA masks a 4.97 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding).

Specifically, he has benefitted from yielding a fortunately low BABIP (batting average of balls in play).

Gonzales' Issues

Among other things, Gonzales struggles with keeping the ball on the ground. While his fly ball-inducing tendencies are by design, the rate at which he allows home runs (1.34 per nine innings) in particular is not.

As heat maps show, he has a worrisome tendency to leave his favorite pitches in the middle parts of the strike zone.

His individual pitch quality is not likely to bail him out when he locates his pitches poorly.

In particular, his pitches horribly lack velocity and spin, which means that they won't blow by batters and that batters won't struggle to track their location.

Gonzales vs. Tigers Batters

Gonzales is in a terrible spot tonight because he is pitching in Detroit's venue, here, Gonzales is 0-3 with a 6.19 ERA in three career starts.

An additional reason why Tiger batters look forward to tonight is that Gonzales is a lefty.

They hit left-handed pitchers vastly better than right-handed ones —their slugging rate is .75 higher against the former than against the latter.

Among others, look out for Miguel Cabrera, Javier Baez, and Harold Castro. All three batters slug .600 or even much higher with Gonzales on the mound.

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Who Starts for Detroit?

Tyler Alexander starts for the Tigers tonight.

One key characteristic of Alexander's arsenal is variety. He throws five different pitches between 12 and 28 percent of the time.

Alexander matches up well against Mariner batters because they rank below average against his pitches from lefties.

This matchup advantage will help Detroit prolong its three-game win streak in games that directly follow a loss.

MLB Pick: Tigers ML (+143) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

Wednesday, August 31, 2022 - 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium

Who Starts for New York?

Gerrit Cole starts for the Yankees today.

Pertinently to my best bet for this game, the "under" has hit in each of his last four starts.

This streak is not only a product of New York's frequently poor hitting in the second half of the season, but also of Cole's consistently strong performances.

He has yielded a sub-three FIP in each of his past four games.

During this four-game span, he conceded one earned run or fewer three times while lasting at least six innings in every outing.

Cole's Greatness

Cole has been particularly great most recently in part because he is not allowing home runs at too high a rate, which he has done in other stretches of the season.

If Cole isn't gifting home runs, then it's also hard to get on base at all when he's pitching because he rarely gifts walks.

It is generally hard to hit his pitches. Consider, for example, his fastball, which he throws just over half the time.

This pitch ranks in the 93rd percentile in velocity and 92nd in spin.

Cole vs. Angel Batters

Tonight, Cole is in an especially strong spot because he is pitching in the Angels' venue.

In his career, he is 4-0 with a 2.37 ERA in five starts at this venue.

Expect him to produce a low-scoring effort with which he keeps his team at least competitive in this game.

Who Starts for the Angels?

Patrick Sandoval starts for the Angels today. He has done a great job of limiting runs lately.

In his past four starts, he has allowed a combined total of three runs.

Moreover, he has not allowed more than two runs in any of his past five starts.

Sandoval vs. Yankee Batters

In August, Yankee batters repeatedly fall flat after a strong performance.

Their inconsistency is evident in their failure to exceed three runs in any of their last three games that directly followed one in which they scored five or more.

Left-handed pitching —Sandoval, too, is a lefty— has given them problems.

They've failed to exceed three runs in their last six games in which the opposing starter was left-handed.

MLB Pick: Under 7.5 (-105) at BetOnline

Parlay Verdict

With your MLB Picks, expect an upset win from Detroit and a low-scoring game in Anaheim.

For the above reasons, parlay the Tigers moneyline with the Yankees/Angels under.

Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

  • Mariners vs. Tigers: Tigers ML (+143)
  • Yankees vs. Angels: Under 7.5 (-105)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+374) at BetOnline

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Two-Legged Parlay (+374)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.