MLB Parlay for June 23: A Bet That Pays (+211)

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Today’s baseball card is attractive. Here is a parlay for your pleasure. Top sportsbooks have released their odds for today’s baseball action.

Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in Colorado vs. Miami and Cleveland vs. Minnesota. For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for both games.

Feel free to parlay both bets at online sports betting site in order to maximize your profits.
Today’s baseball card features mostly day games. Be sure to submit this parlay early.

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins

Thursday, June 23, 2022 – 12:10 PM EDT at loanDepot Park

Who Starts for Colorado?

Today, Colorado starts Kyle Freeland who is currently enjoying his best stretch of play in terms of collecting wins and enduring more innings.

Freeland is a great example of a pitcher who can succeed without throwing hard. One thing that Freeland relies on instead of velocity is variety.

He throws five different pitches but none of them with as much as 25 percent frequency. Instead, he throws his fastball, slider, sinker, curveball, and changeup from 15.1 to 24.1 percent of the time. This level of variety makes him seem rather unpredictable to batters.

Interesting Trends

This year, Freeland is inducing ground balls at a significantly lower rate. However, he is also cutting down the rate at which he allows home runs.

These trends are interesting because a home run is simply a long fly ball. One way in which Freeland induces a short fly ball is by elevating his fastball and placing lots of spin on it.

Fastballs Ranking

His fastball ranks in the 81st percentile in spin rate, which makes batters have a harder time tracking its trajectory.

By elevating this pitch, it gains the appearance of rising action, which induces batters to swing underneath it.

Heat maps show that his fastball is the only pitch that he'll elevate consistently. He typically excels at locating his pitches along the edges or lower regions of the strike zone.

Marlin Batters Against Freeland

The southpaw Freeland is reliable especially today because he matches up uniquely well against Marlin batters given the pitches which he throws.

Against Freeland's five favorite pitches from lefties, the Marlins rank last place by far, slugging .295 against them.

Who Starts for Miami?

Today, Miami starts youngster Braxton Garrett. He made his first start of the season on June 5 and has remained since then in Miami's starting rotation.

Despite this apparent sign of confidence in Garrett, he is struggling to achieve consistent success.

Two of his three starts this season were disasters: he allowed four earned runs in 3.1 innings versus San Francisco and yielded a 6.75 ERA in his last start at the Mets.

Rockies Batters Against Garrett

Colorado is an underdog today primarily because of its reputation for finding a significantly greater level of success hitting-wise at home than on the road.

Supposedly, it can be uniquely difficult for Colorado to hit well on the road because it is acclimated to hitting in its home ballpark, which is baseball's most hitters-friendly venue.

Rockies Performance

However, the Rockies have already scored 12 runs in two games in Miami in this series. Hitting-wise, they've enjoyed so much success in this series largely because they've gotten to face left-handed pitching.

They have one of baseball's best lineups against left-handed pitching. Colorado ranks fifth in slugging against southpaws, which is pertinent to note for this game because Garrett is left-handed.

Among other Colorado batters, look out for Jose Iglesias, who is batting .350 against lefties.

MLB Pick: Rockies (+126) with BetOnline

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

Thursday, June 23, 2022 - 01:10 PM EDT at Target Field

Who Starts for Cleveland?

Cleveland starts Zach Plesac who is coming off a fortunate start in which his 1.50 ERA masked a 5.97 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding).

In that start, he benefitted from an opposing BABIP (batting average of balls in play) that was improbably low given the minimal extent to which he induced soft contact.

Twins Batters Against Plesac 

Plesac is particularly unreliable today because of his poor history in Minnesota. He is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA in two career starts in the Twins' venue.

Moreover, the Twins match up well against him, ranking seventh in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Minnesota?

Minnesota starts Devin Smeltzer who is coming off some terrible performances against non-divisional opponents. 

He must be glad today to face another AL Central team because, in four starts against division rivals, Smeltzer has allowed a total of four earned runs in 25 innings.

Guardians Batters Against Smeltzer

Primarily, the southpaw Smeltzer throws a fastball, changeup, and curveball. These pitches combine for about 94 percent of his arsenal.

He matches up well against Guardian batters because they rank 28th in slugging .324 against his pitches from lefties

MLB Pick: Twins (-136) with BetOnline

Parlay Verdict

With your MLB picks in mind, expect the Rockies to upset Miami and the Twins to race past Cleveland.

For the above reasons, parlay the Rockies ML with the Twins ML. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

Parlay Pick

  • Rockies (+126)
  • Twins (-136)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+211) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.