Mets vs. Dodgers MLB Free Picks and Preview

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The Los Angeles Dodgers were just embarrassed on their home field, losing three straight games to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Can the Mets continue what the Pirates started in tonight’s game?

Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the top sportsbooks!

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Thursday, June 02, 2022, 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium

A Though Assignment for the Mets

The New York Mets are currently the best team in the National League. But now they’ll have a tough assignment, on the road, against the Los Angeles Dodgers who aren’t far behind.

The Mets just swept their homestand with six straight wins over the Phillies and Nationals. However, the Dodgers just lost a three-game series to the Pirates in embarrassing fashion, at home.

Will the Dodgers rebound against the hottest team in baseball? Here are our picks and predictions for Thursday night’s MLB game between the Mets and Dodgers.

Who Pitches for the Dodgers Today?

Tony Gonsolin will get the start for the Dodgers. He’ll look to get the Dodgers back on track after an embarrassing series to start the week.

Gonsolin is 5-0 with a 1.80 ERA on the season. In the last 30 days, he’s been just as elite, with a 3.33 xFIP and 30.1% of strikeouts.

Gonsolin has been very surprising this year but also has a .180 BABIP in the last 30 days. That’s likely not going to last and he’s allowing a .194 ISO to lefties in the last 30 days.

Who Pitches for the Mets Today?

Meanwhile, it’ll be Taijuan Walker on the mound for the Mets. Walker has had a 5.25 xFIP in the last 30 days with just 11.6% of strikeouts and 8.3% of walks.

He’s been able to minimize damage with 52.8% of ground balls and has allowed just 18% of line drives in the last 30 days.

Like Gonsolin, Walker is allowing a .178 ISO to lefties and will be challenged by multiple lefties in the Dodgers lineup.

Dodgers Lineup Analysis

  • The Dodgers have a .224 ISO with a wOBA of .363 in the last 30 days against righties.
  • Los Angeles has also earned 10.7% of walks with their projected lineup and is hitting 25.8% of line drives along with just 33.4% of ground balls.
  • This lineup is elite against righties. On the other hand, the Mets don’t have the power that the Dodgers have.

Mets Lineup Analysis

  • The Mets have a .156 ISO but a .335 wOBA with just 16.3% of strikeouts.
  • If the Mets can limit strikeouts against Gonsolin and put the ball in play, there’s a good chance Gonsolin watches his .180 BABIP drop in this game.
  • The Mets have six batters with a .343 wOBA or higher against righties in their projected order.

Dodgers vs. Mets: Game Prediction

If the Mets are going to win this game, runs will need to be scored. Taijuan Walker will allow runs to this Dodgers offense.

The Dodgers match up well with powerful lefties like Freddie Freeman, Edwin Rios, and Cody Bellinger.

What to Expect from Walker and Gonsolin

Walker is also getting a whole lot of grounders this season but the Dodgers simply refrain from hitting grounders against righties.

That could be an issue for Walker who allows over 29% of fly balls in the last 30 days. On the other hand, Gonsolin is getting a high amount of strikeouts.

But the Mets have had a solid approach at the plate this year and aren’t striking out at a high rate.

If the Mets can put the ball in play against Gonsolin, the Mets should end up scoring runs knowing that Gonsolin’s BABIP should resort back to the mean as he allows more balls in play.

MLB Pick

The Dodgers have been acting weird recently. With three losses to the Pirates, anything is possible right now.

The Mets are going to start a long road trip while the Dodgers are already staying at home. Right there, it seems like the Dodgers have the edge, especially knowing they go up against Walker.

But I think the Mets can tack on some runs too against Gonsolin and believe this game will go over the total.

Who to Bet On?

I’ll take the Over 8.5 for your MLB pick of the day. Walker looks like he’ll get rocked on paper and you can never count out the Mets against any pitcher this season with their new approach.

MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-120) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 8.5 (-120)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.