Guardians vs. Yankees ALDS Game 1 Best Bets

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Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees runs toward first base after flying out against the Texas Rangers. Ron Jenkins/Getty Images/AFP.

For the second time in three years, Cleveland and the New York Yankees meet in the MLB postseason as they face off in Game 1 of the AL Division Series on Tuesday from the Bronx.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Tuesday, October 11, 2022 – 07:37 PM EDT at Yankee Stadium 

All four Division Series start on Tuesday, and we’re here for Game 1 from the American League when the Cleveland Guardians visit the New York Yankees televised by TBS.

These clubs met in the postseason as recently as the 2020 Wild-Card Series when the Yankees swept two games in Cleveland.  

New York was 5-1 on MLB picks vs. Cleveland this season and 3-0 at home but that series was very early on. 

Series' Stats

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge, a lock to win AL MVP, was 4-for-17 in the series with two homers and three RBIs. Gleyber Torres hit .438 in the series with four RBIs.

DJ LeMahieu hit .368 with 2 home runs and 4 knocked in. Josh Naylor was 8-for-19 for Cleveland with 2 home runs. Franmil Reyes had three long balls, but is no longer with the Guardians

On the series line, New York is -210 with Cleveland +180. I would probably take the Yankees in five at +350.  

Guardians Down Key Reliever 

We previewed Cleveland’s Game 2 of the Wild-Card Series at home vs. Tampa Bay on Saturday and were right on both the side and the total as the Guardians won 1-0 in 15 innings, they allowed just one run combined in the two-game sweep.

That this Yankees series didn’t start until Tuesday was a nice break for Cleveland because they had to empty their bullpen on Saturday

Nick Sandlin

However, one reliever will not be available: Nick Sandlin suffered a shoulder strain on Saturday and will not return for this postseason as he will be shut down for six weeks. 

The 25-year-old went 5-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 46 games as a setup man for closer Emmanuel Clase, who led the majors with 42 saves. 

Teams' Accomplishments

Cleveland only hit .171 as a team vs. the Rays, and that’s clearly not going to cut it vs. the Yankees.

The Guardians were 24-6 over their final 30 regular-season games, best in the majors and their second-best 30-game stretch to end a season in club history, behind only a 26-4 run in 2017.

The Guardians recorded an MLB-high 29 wins in their last at-bat and then obviously added another on Saturday.

That surpassed the 1995 club (27 wins) for the most such victories in a single season in franchise history (since 1901). 

Who Will Start for the Guardians?

It will be right-hander Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA) on the mound Tuesday. The Canadian absolutely never loses in Cleveland, it seems, and was 9-0 there with a 3.28 ERA this year but 6-5 with a 3.53 ERA on the road.

He faced the Yankees once, allowing three runs over 6.1 innings in a no-decision at Yankee Stadium on April 23. Josh Donaldson is 7-for-17 career off him with two homers and five RBIs.

Harrison Bader is 3-for-3 with a homer. Aaron Judge is 0-for-5 with two walks.  The Guardians are 0-5 on the MLB odds in their past five playoff road games.  

Yankees Have Been Off For While 

AL East champion New York could be a tad rusty to begin with considering it hasn’t taken the field since Oct. 5 in Texas.

And really, the Yankees haven’t played a truly meaningful game in weeks because they had such a big lead in the division

Last Tuesday, Aaron Judge broke the American League record with his 62nd homer of the season, remember, he can become a free agent this winter and made himself just a ton of money.

He did come up just short of the Triple Crown, also leading the AL with 131 RBIs but finishing with an average of .311, second to Minnesota’s Luis Arraez. In his playoff career, Judge is a .230 hitter with 11 homers and 22 RBIs in 135 at-bats

Aroldis Chapman

One well-known Yankee is not on the postseason roster: Former closer Aroldis Chapman. He skipped a mandatory workout last week and probably will never play for the team again.

"I think he questioned whether he was going to be on the roster or not," Manager Aaron Boone said.  

Chapman also went on the injured list from August 24 until September 16 due to an infection in a leg caused by getting a tattoo.

Another member of that bullpen, Wandy Peralta, has been on the injured list with a lower back strain since Sept. 22, but is expected to be activated. He had a 2.72 ERA in 56.1 regular-season innings. 

Who Will Start for the Yankees?

It will be right-hander Gerrit Cole on the mound Tuesday, the pitcher with the biggest contract in history.

The 32-year-old was good, but not always great this season at 13-8 with a 3.50 ERA but did lead the majors with 257 strikeouts.

At home, he was 5-5 with a 3.20 ERA in 16 starts. He faced the Guardians twice and was 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and .163 opponents’ batting average in 12.2 innings.  

Cleveland Stats

Cleveland All-Star Jose Ramirez is 6-for-22 career off him with a double, triple and homer.

Josh Naylor is 4-for-12 with two homers. Myles Straw is 1-for-11. Cole is 8-5 in his playoff career with a 2.93 ERA.  

New York is 11-5 in its past 16 playoff home games.  I like the Yankees 4-2 here. 

MLB Pick: Under 7 Runs (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Under 7 Runs (-115)
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MLB Pick: Yankees ML (-198) at BetOnline  

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Yankees ML (-198)
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