The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to put together a four-game sweep over the San Francisco Giants with ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound for today’s game. Can the Giants salvage the series or will the Dodgers earn the sweep in this rivalry matchup?
Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the top sportsbooks!
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, July 24, 2022 – 04:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
San Francisco Giants hoped that they would be able to compete in the second half of the season. Instead, the Giants have now dropped three straight to the Los Angeles Dodgers in the second half of the season and are in danger of getting swept in a four-game series with today’s game.
The Giants are currently just two games over .500 after winning the NL West division last season with 107 wins. Injuries have played a role, but things should’ve never got to this level. Here are our picks and predictions for the last game of this series after the Giants failed to complete a comeback during the ninth inning on Saturday.
The Pitching Match-Up
The Dodgers will send out Clayton Kershaw for today’s game against the Giants. The left-handed ace started Tuesday’s All-Star game a pitched a scoreless inning. On the season, Kershaw has a 7-2 record with a 2.13 ERA. He’s been lights out. Then, in the last 30 days, the lefty has:
- An xFIP of 3.52
- 27.2% of strikeouts
- 4.9% of walks
He’s also earned 52.9% of ground balls and is giving up 11.4% of line drives in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, Alex Cobb will look to get the Giants back on track. On the season, he's 3-4 with a 4.09 ERA. He’s pitched better than that recently, holding a 3.62 xFIP in the last 30 days for the Giants.
The right-hander has only struck out 16.1% of batters but has limited walks to 5.9% of walks. Cobb is also a heavy ground-ball pitcher and getting 64.4% of grounders in the last 30 days.
Who Has the More Favorable Lineup?
Again, the Giants will take on their third lefty in the last 30 days. San Francisco has really good numbers against lefties but hasn’t been consistent against the left-handers in the Dodgers’ bullpen. The Giants have a .325 ISO and wOBA of .425 during that span.
Only Austin Slater and Austin Wynns have low power numbers against lefties in the last 30 days. But that just doesn’t seem to matter when the Giants take on Los Angeles.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are hitting a .220 ISO and wOBA of .348 against righties in the last 30 days. Like the Giants, the Dodgers have been able to keep ground balls down and have every player hitting an above-average ISO number in the last 30 days against righties but one batter. That batter would be Austin Barnes, who will be batting ninth.
The Giants are getting closer to falling to .500 again. They’ve been streaky. Before the All-Star break, the Giants were back to .500 but rallied late and earned some breathing room, only to give it all back once they faced the Dodgers.
Anyway, Cobb has been tremendous and maybe a bit unlucky. He has an ERA of 4.09 but his xFIP is a point better than his ERA this season. He’s inducing a heavy amount of grounders but he might not be able to do that against the Dodgers, who are hitting just 37.4% of grounders in the last 30 days against righties.
Kershaw: Dodgers' MVP?
Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw has been extremely valuable this season to the Dodgers. He’s thrown two games where he held a perfect game for a pretty solid portion of the game. The lefty has been locked in and should be able to perform in today’s game just as well.
He’s keeping line drives down, getting plenty of ground balls are is just overall dominant right now. Plus, the Giants have struck out 22.4% of the time against lefties in the last 30 days. The Giants have slugged lefties, but none of that matters if Kershaw is earning a ton of strikeouts. And he’s got all the potential to earn those strikeouts against this San Francisco lineup.
The Dodgers at -210 is just too high for my liking. Cobb, as I’ve talked about, has been better analytically than his basic stats and I think we’ll see those advanced stats start to do more of the talking in the second half of the season. Meanwhile, Kershaw has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the game this year.
Therefore, with my MLB Pick of the Day, I’ll take the Under 8 at -115. The Giants look helpless.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.