Dodgers vs. Braves Free MLB Picks for June 25

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Starting pitcher Mitch White #66 of the Los Angeles Dodgers delivers the baseball in the first inning. Quinn Harris/Getty Images/AFP

The Atlanta Braves will look to get even with the Los Angeles Dodgers after the Dodgers took the first game of three in last night’s series opener.

Will the Braves tie the series on today’s FOX telecast? Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the top sportsbooks!

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves

Saturday, June 25, 2022- 07:15 PM EDT at Truist Park

Freddie Freeman Decision

Freddie Freeman basically acknowledged that he made a mistake leaving the Braves for the Dodgers over the offseason.

The Braves won a World Series and then Freeman left for the Dodgers once the Braves traded for Matt Olson.

Braves Against Dodgers Analysis

Atlanta certainly missed his leadership early on in the season but the Braves are now back in business with a 41-31 record on the season.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 44-25 and just defeated the Braves in yesterday’s series opener in Atlanta.

Can the Braves tie up the weekend series against the Dodgers? Here are our picks and predictions for today’s FOX game between the Dodgers and Braves.

Who Is Pitching for the Braves Today?

The Braves will send out Max Fried, a left-handed pitcher with a 2.77 ERA. He struggled early on this season but has since found his groove.

  • He’s currently 7-2 on the season and has an xFIP of 3.44 in the last 30 days.
  • Fried has earned over 24% of strikeouts while walking just 5.5% of batters in the last 30 days.
  • He’s also induced 58.4% of ground balls when balls are hit into play and he’s allowed just 15.7% of line drives in that same time frame of 30 days.

Who Is Pitching for the Dodgers Today?

On the other hand, it’ll be Mitch White for the Dodgers.

  • White has a 3.83 xFIP in the last 30 days along with 25.5% of strikeouts.
  • He’s still allowing 27.8% of line drives, which is something that could haunt him going up against this Braves lineup.

Braves Lineup Analysis

The Braves have a .246 ISO and wOBA of .357 against righties in the last 30 days. Atlanta is also hitting 22.5% of line drives against righties with their projected lineup, having just two players hitting below a 21.1% of line drives in those 30 days.

The Braves aren’t very patient and don’t earn many walks but are finding ways to get on base when they put the ball in play.

Dodgers Lineup Analysis

On the other hand, the Dodgers have a .220 ISO and wOBA of .339 against lefties in the last 30 days. Like the Braves, the Dodgers have hit 26.7% of line drives with their projected lineup against lefties and have limited ground balls to 35.4%.

Braves vs. Dodgers: Game Prediction

Both lineups check out, however, both pitchers have also been very good analytically too. Fried really hasn’t had any blemishes on the mound in the last 30 days.

Fried Against Dodgers Analysis

His xFIP is low, strikeouts are high, walks are low, ground balls are high, and line drives are low. He’s also limited power against both sides of the plate and has kept weighted on-base averages down against both sides of the plate too.

Dodgers Pitchers Still Getting Injured

You can’t really ask for more than that. However, facing the Dodgers is never an easy task. Meanwhile, White is the less known pitcher, but he has a 3.86 ERA on the season and has come in clutch for the Dodgers due to their pitching staff continuing to get injured.

White also has also limited power and weighted on-base averages but has allowed 27.8% of line drives in the last 30 days. That’s where White and Fried differentiate themselves. Fried will get more ground balls and give up fewer line drives in comparison to White.

MLB Pick for Today

However, the Dodgers are currently sitting at +140 against the Dodgers for today’s game. It’s rare that you get a +140 shot at the Dodgers, who are currently 44-25 on the season.

The Braves have the pitching advantage, without a doubt. But analytically, it’s not by much. The Braves project to hit more line drives and fewer ground balls against White but the Dodgers as a lineup do those two things better.

Who to Bet On?

Therefore, I have to take the Dodgers with my MLB pick of the day. It’s good practice to take one of the best teams in baseball when they’re sitting at +140.

White’s analytics has proven that he can keep the Dodgers in the game and we all know what the Dodgers’ offense is capable of against lefties this season.

MLB Pick: Dodgers (+140) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Dodgers (+140)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.