The Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to be the first National League team to reach 60 wins tonight when they take on the Los Angeles Angels in Anaheim.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Saturday, July 16, 2022 – 10:07 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Series Opener Recap and What to Expect on Saturday
The Los Angeles Dodgers crushed the Los Angeles Angels last night, earning a 9-1 win behind a dominant performance from Clayton Kershaw.
The Angels are currently looking for their 40th win of the year while the Dodgers will be trying to reach the 60-win mark before the first half of the season concludes.
Do the Angels have any chance against the best team in the National League? Here are our MLB picks for tonight’s rivalry matchup between the Angels and Dodgers.
The Pitching Matchup
The Los Angeles Angels will pitch Jose Suarez, a left-handed pitcher with a 1-3 record and a 4.79 ERA.
Suarez has a high xFIP in the last 30 days of 4.68 but has been able to strike out 26.3% of batters while only walking 6.6% of batters in those 30 days.
The lefty will allow plenty of line drive contact and rarely induces ground balls, especially in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers will send out Julio Urias, who is 7-6 with a 3.01 ERA on the season. Urias has been the much better left-hander recently, holding a 3.88 xFIP with 28.8% of strikeouts and 6.7% of walks. Urias has limited line drive and has been great at keeping home runs down too.
The Angels have one of the worst lineups in baseball, despite having two of the best players in our generation. Mike Trout likely will be sitting out of tonight’s game but Shohei Ohtani will be in the lineup.
Against lefties, Ohtani has a .080 ISO and is striking out 27.3% of the time in the last 30 days. As a projected lineup, the Angels have a .114 ISO and wOBA of .268 against lefties with 25.6% of strikeouts.
This lineup has also hit over 50% of ground balls and just 17% of line drives against lefties in the last 30 days
Meanwhile, the Dodgers have been just fine against lefties, hitting an ISO of .203 with a wOBA of .351 in the last 30 days. The Dodgers will strike out at 23.1% of the time but this lineup also hits 25.7% of line drives against Suarez.
With Suarez allowing plenty of line drive contact in the last 30 days, the Dodgers should be able to get some hard-hit line drives against Suarez that will help produce runs.
The Angels, especially without Mike Trout, look terrible offensively against lefties. Only Tyler Ward and Luis Rengifo have elevated power numbers against lefties in the last 30 days. Rengifo still only has a wOBA of .300 against lefties in the last 30 days while striking out 25% of the time. Plus, Rengifo doesn’t even have a single walk against lefties.
Tyler Ward is literally the only player hitting solid numbers against lefties in the last 30 days. Julio Urias should be able to cruise past this lineup, as every single team has in the last two months.
Meanwhile, Jose Suarez hasn’t been dreadful on the mound. But the low ground ball rate and high line drive rate aren’t going to be favorable against this Dodgers lineup.
The Dodgers are hitting just 37.5% of ground balls against lefties with their projected lineup in the last 30 days against lefties while hitting nearly 26% of line drives against them. Only Justin Turner and Gavin Lux have limited power against lefties in the last 30 days in this lineup for the Dodgers.
With all of that said, I like the Dodgers to win this game by multiple runs. The Angels without Mike Trout just isn’t going to work out. The offense has been extremely lame against lefties and it won’t get any better against Julio Urias.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers have plenty of power against lefties and should hit solid line drives against Suarez to earn some runs. Therefore, with my MLB Play of the Day, give me the Dodgers -1.5, on the road, against the Angels at -110.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.