Dodgers vs. Cubs Expert MLB Analysis and Pick

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Clayton Kershaw #22 of the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 23, 2021 in Los Angeles, California. Michael Owens/Getty Images/AFP

The Dodgers have been reeling lately but got well in their last outing as they open a three-game set with the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze this second leg of Wednesday’s double-header between these National League rivals and keep cashing our MLB picks.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

Tuesday, May 4, 2021 – 7:40 PM ET at Wrigley Field

The Dodgers entered Sunday’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers having won just three of their last 13 contests, a stark departure from last season’s juggernaut that ran the table and captured their first World Series title in over 30 years. Los Angeles had dropped three of their scheduled four to the Brewers and Milwaukee was looking for a sweep of their National League rivals.

However, the Dodgers had something vastly different in mind as their offense finally sprung to life and they dismissed the Brewers in a 16-4 thrashing at AmFam Field. A.J. Pollock and Matt Beaty provided the bulk of the fireworks as both smashed grand slams off of rookie Alec Bettinger who made his career debut at the big-league level after never pitching beyond Double-A.

When the dust settled, Pollock had eight RBI while Beaty plated seven in an absolute laser show that LA had been missing in their most recent outings. “As a team, we just needed to be able to breathe a little bit,” Pollock said. “It’s been a rough couple of weeks for us.”

Despite LA’s recent spate of losses, they still rank tops in the majors in OBP (.346), third in runs scored, and OPS (.755). Injuries have played a big factor in the team’s woes, with right-handed pitcher, Dustin May, being the latest casualty to go on the 10-day IL, yet they are still parked in second place in the NL West, trailing the Giants by only half a game.

Cubs Floundering

The bad news is that the Chicago Cubs are tied for dead last in the NL Central as they prepare for their three-game set with the Dodgers. The good news is they are only 4 .5 games out of first with the vast majority of the season still in front of them.

The Cubs have dropped seven of their last nine games but Sunday’s loss to the Reds had to be the most agonizing. After falling behind, 12-8, entering the eighth inning, Chicago rallied for four runs when Ian Happ crushed a three-run shot to tie the game after Jake Marisnick made the most of his pinch-hit opportunity and singled in a run. After a scoreless ninth inning, the game went into extra innings, before Cincinnati’s Nick Castellanos singled in the winning run off of Craig Kimbrel.

Chicago has one of the worst team ERA’s with a 5.01, ranking them 27th in the league, while their team WHIP of 1.47 places them second to last, only ahead of the Colorado Rockies. The Cubs will be looking forward to returning to Chicago after a seven-game road trip that saw them go 2-5 but will try to improve upon their 8-7 mark at Wrigley Field.

Wanna Make a Bet?

Monday night’s game was postponed so these clubs will battle twice on Tuesday, with the first as a matinee before they hook up again in this twilight meeting. The Dodgers will send their resident space cadet, Trevor Bauer (3-1, 2.48 ERA, 0.68 WHIP), to the bump as he will attempt to duplicate his efforts from his last outing when he held the Brewers to only two runs on four hits over eight innings of work in what resulted in a 2-1 loss.

On the flip side, the Cubs will reportedly counter with righty Adbert Alzolay (1-2, 4.71 ERA, 0.90 WHIP) who made his last start on April 29th when he hurled six innings of two-run ball in a 9-3 win over the Braves.

Obviously, the MLB odds on this one are going to be hard to swallow on the road favorite but that’s what happens when an underachieving defending World Series champion comes into a contest against an overmatched opponent. Particularly when we consider that eight of the Dodgers’ last 10 losses have come by two runs or less and three of them came in extra innings.

That is just a case of bad luck coupled with an offense that had uncharacteristically slumbered until Sunday night when they awoke abruptly and exploded for 16 runs. Now they have arguably their best pitcher on the hill against a subpar Chicago offense and fresh off of a stunning offensive display that will carry over on Tuesday night.

Lay it and like it with the Dodgers.

MLB Pick: Dodgers -175 at BetOnline