Is there any value on the MLB odds for Thursday night’s Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds contest out in the cornfield, or has the hype and marketing surrounding the game sucked all the joy out of betting it?
It might be called the Field of Dreams Game, but no amount of sugar-coating and Madison Avenue fluff can hide the fact it is matching up two teams having nightmarish seasons by scheduling the Chicago Cubs against the Cincinnati Reds.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Thursday, August 11, 2022 – 07:15 PM EDT at Field of Dreams
Who Are Today's Starting Pitchers?
It’s the Reds who are drawing the chalk on very tight moneylines with a 9-run total that favors the ‘Under.’
Thursday’s tilt is the beginning of just the third series between the division foes this season. There are three more encounters scheduled after this weekend set that gets underway in Iowa and concludes with contests in Cincinnati on Saturday and Sunday.
Chicago holds a slim 4-3 edge in the seven games played so far, with five of the seven MLB scores resulting in ‘Over’ winners for baseball bettors and two of the clashes producing monster scores like a 15-7 Cubs win at Wrigley Field on June 30th and a 20-5 Reds rout in Cincinnati on May 26th.
- The Reds won the 2021 season series by an 11-8 margin, but it’s the Cubs who hold the all-time lead in the rivalry at 1,119-1,098.
- Six of the nine games with Cincinnati as the home team a year ago went ‘Over’ the totals.
- Last year’s inaugural Field of Dreams game was an easy ‘Over’ winner as the Chicago White Sox walked off a 9-8 decision against the New York Yankees.
Chicago’s starting pitching rotation remains a sore spot figuratively and literally, as Kyle Hendricks remains shut down with a right shoulder injury, and Wade Miley’s left shoulder just now coming around after missing the last two months.
Third baseman Mike Moustakas was added to Cincinnati’s growing injured list earlier this week due to a strained calf, but the Reds are hopeful of getting reliever Art Warren (forearm strain) back into the mix at some point this weekend.
July was something of a disaster for Smyly who recorded an ERA in excess of 6 over his four assignments and Chicago lost three, but he rebounded in fine fashion last Saturday by pitching scoreless baseball into the seventh against an anemic Miami lineup for a 4-0 win in a game that closed as a pick at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review).
That turned out to be Smyly’s first dubya in front of the Wrigleyville faithful despite owning an ERA that is more than a run better in six starts at home (3.50) as his eight assignments away from Chicago (4.50).
Smyly faced the Reds in Cincinnati back on May 23rd and got the win despite not pitching all that great in allowing 3 runs in 5+ innings, with all of the runs coming plateward on a pair of long flies by Aristides Aquino.
Since being recalled in early July, Lodolo has seen five of his six assignments go into the Cincinnati win column though that hasn’t always been due to the former TCU Horned Frog pitching well.
That was the case last Saturday in Milwaukee where the Brewers touched him up for a couple of big flies and 3 runs to chase Lodolo in the fifth after the Reds handed him a 4-0 lead in what would eventually be a 7-5 victory as +155 underdogs at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Lodolo is getting his first taste of the Cubs-Reds rivalry with this appearance, and pitching away from Cincinnati has been something of a disaster for the 24-year-old with an 8.49 ERA in three road starts, with opposing hitters batting a crisp .306 against him.
Cubs vs. Reds: MLB Best Bet for Today
It should be a pretty nice evening down on the farm where the weatherman is calling for partly cloudy skies, the thermometer in the mid-70s at first pitch and a light easterly breeze (in from right-center).
While the FOX announcers are waxing nostalgic and trying to work in catchphrases from the movie, one thing they might not remind you is last place in the NL Central is on the line with this game.
My MLB pick is Cincinnati stays in the cellar when all is said and done.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.