Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Preview and Pick

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Tyler Anderson #31 of the Los Angeles Dodgers catches Ian Happ #8 of the Chicago Cubs. Michael Owens/Getty Images/AFP.

The Dodgers came from behind again to defeat the Chicago Cubs and have now extended their winning streak to six. Today, the Dodgers will look to sweep the Cubs, at home, in a four-game series. Can Los Angeles pull it off?

Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the top sportsbooks! Here are our picks and predictions for today’s game between the Cubs and Dodgers.

Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Sunday, July 10, 2022 – 04:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium

How Are the Dodgers Doing?

The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to win. The Dodgers defeated the Chicago Cubs in another come-from-behind victory, winning 4-2.

Los Angeles will be going for the sweep against the Cubs tonight and currently hold a 55-29 record on the season.

How Are the Cubs Doing?

Meanwhile, the Cubs are looking for answers right now, holding a 34-51 record on the season.

Chicago is in rebuild mode and does have a bunch of injuries, but overall, the Cubs were never supposed to be in the race this season anyway.


Who Is Pitching for the Cubs Today?

The Chicago Cubs will send out Drew Smyly, who is 2-5 with a 3.80 ERA on the season. The lefty has put up respectable numbers this season and hasn’t pitched since May 30 due to injury.

On the season, Smyly has a 4.28 xFIP with just 18.9% of strikeouts. However, he’s limited walks, earned plenty of ground balls, and has allowed just 17.2% of line drives this season.

Who Is Pitching for the Dodgers Today?

Meanwhile, another lefty, Julio Urias, will get the call for the Cubs. He’s 7-6 with a 2.57 ERA on the season. In the last 30 days, he’s holding a 3.35 xFIP with 32.7% of strikeouts and just 5.3% of walks.

Urias is improving as the season progresses and has been extremely consistent as of late.


Lineups Analysis

Chicago Cubs

  • In the last 30 days, the Cubs have a .106 ISO and wOBA of .256 against lefties using their projected lineup.
  • The Cubs also have hit 50.9% of ground balls against lefties while slugging just 14.1% of line drives in that 30-day time frame.
  • The only consistent batters in the Cubs lineup include Nico Hoerner, Ian Happ, and Seiya Suzuki.
  • Suzuki’s numbers are going off a very small sample size.

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • The Dodgers haven’t been excellent against lefties either, but they’ve been better.
  • Los Angeles is hitting a .152 ISO and wOBA of .309 against lefties in the last 30 days with 22.7% of strikeouts.
  • Still, the Dodgers are hitting 25.7% of line drives with the projected lineup against lefties in those 30 days.
  • The Dodgers have serious power coming from Will Smith and Max Muncy in that time frame.

Cubs vs. Dodgers: Game Prediction

Dodgers' Lineup Against Drew Smyly

The Cubs’ rotation is getting healthier. That’s going to help their cause. Marcus Stroman pitched effectively last night and now it’ll be Drew Smyly’s turn tonight.

The Dodgers aren’t all that great against lefties, to begin with. However, again, they do have more potential in comparison to Chicago against lefties.

Smyly can be stretched out, but the Cubs aren’t going to push it. Then the bullpen will come in and find a way to blow the game open, like all series.

Cubs' Lineup Against Julio Urias

On the other hand, Julio Urias has been consistently good for the Dodgers. Forget his 7-6 record. He has a 2.57 ERA on the year and a very good xFIP in the last 30 days for Los Angeles.

The Cubs rarely produce walks and are hitting more than 50% of ground balls in the last 30 days against lefties. Urias isn’t a huge ground-ball pitcher, but he’ll get grounders from time to time.

As long as Urias can escape the top of the order, he should have no problem pitching to the bottom of the order, which is just filled with below-average numbers against lefties in mostly every department.


MLB Betting Pick for Today

For my MLB picks of the day, I’m going to grab the Under in this game, with the number sitting at 8.5.

I’m not thrilled with either lineup tonight against lefties. It’s hard to know how Smyly will pitch tonight, but ultimately, he’s been good for the Cubs when on the mound.

Meanwhile, Urias has been terrific and will take on a Cubs lineup that isn’t scoring many runs right now, to begin with.

MLB Pick: Under 8.5 (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Under 8.5 (-115)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.