Brewers vs. Cubs MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

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Aaron Ashby #26 of the Milwaukee Brewers delivers a pitch against the Miami Marlins during the ninth inning. Mark Brown/Getty Images/AFP

 
A rainout on the first weekend of the season is forcing the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs to play an old-fashioned Memorial Day doubleheader, and we’ve got a free MLB pick for the second game of the twin bill. 

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

Monday, May 30, 2022 – 07:40 PM EDT at Wrigley Field

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Preview

Ernie Banks would surely love what’s happening at Wrigley Field on Monday when the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs play two. The holiday doubleheader was created by a rainout earlier this season and will feature a couple of pitchers making their major league debuts in the first game. 

It's the nightcap where our focus lies. Aaron Ashby (0-3, 2.91) is scheduled to start for the Brewers opposite veteran Drew Smyly (2-5, 4.08) of the Cubs, and the late announcement on Chicago’s part regarding its rotation plans is behind the reason why the contest has yet to show up on BMR’s odds board

Today’s Milwaukee Pitcher 

Bouncing between the rotation and serving as a bulk reliever for Craig Counsel’s Brewers, Aaron Ashby is wrapping up a solid month of May that included just the one stinker of a performance in Atlanta a little more than three months ago. 

Ashby is coming off his longest outing of the season – and of his career – in a 91-pitch, 5.2 inning performance in San Diego last Wednesday when the 24-year-old allowed one unearned run and struck out five in what was eventually a 2-1 win for Milwaukee as a +126 underdog at BetOnline. 

The Kansas City native made his major league debut against the Cubs 11 months ago in what was an ugly relief outing that lasted less than an inning with Chicago scoring seven times (4 earned). Ashby pitched in relief at Wrigley Field on Opening Day this season, working 1.1 innings and allowing a run to take the loss. 

Today’s Chicago Pitcher 

A string of five consecutive losses came to an end for Drew Smyly last Monday in Cincinnati. It wasn’t necessarily a work of art for the Little Rock native who pitched into the sixth while allowing three runs and serving up a couple of home runs, but it did go into the win column for the Cubs that were -125 favorites on the MLB odds. 

During his string of five-straight defeats, Smyly pitched to a rather unsightly 5.54 ERA and cost Chicago backers more than 6 units. Despite that bloated ERA, four of the five games still remained under the totals. 

Smyly has faced the Brewers just once before, and that matchup came just a little more than a year ago in Milwaukee while he was pitching for the Braves. The 32-year-old made the most of it with six innings of 1-run baseball to capture the dubya in a 6-3 final. 

Rivalry Trends: Brewers vs. Cubs

  • This is the third series between the Brewers and Cubs this season, with the home team winning each of the first two sets.
  • Chicago has already done better against Milwaukee this season than a year ago when the Brewers dominated the Cubs by winning all six series and going 15-4, including an 8-2 record at Wrigley Field. 
  • In the April series that was played in Chicago, the over cashed twice with a third game pushing a 9-run total. A season ago, it was the under that trended at Wrigley Field where totals resulted in a 3-6-1 O/U/P record at BMR's top-rated sportsbooks

MLB Weather Forecast for Brewers vs. Cubs

The weatherman is calling for partly cloudy skies and temps in the mid-80s during the afternoon. There is also a 15-20 mph blow from the south (out to left), and coupled with rookie pitchers in the first game, that total has been set at 11. 

That south wind is still in the mid-teens by the time Game 2 begins, so we should expect 9½-10½ for the baseball matchup between Ashby and Smyly. 

Injury Report 

Both teams could be without key bats in their lineups for Monday’s doubleheader due to injuries. The Brewers are living life without Hunter Renfroe due to a hamstring injury, and it could be a game-time decision to activate him off the injured list. 

Chicago is without heralded rookie Seiya Suzuki who missed the weekend series against the White Sox with a finger injury and his status is questionable for Monday. 

Brews vs. Cubs Betting Pick

With rookies pitching for both sides in the opener, could the bullpens be worn out by the nightcap? That could force the two managers to go longer with their starters in Game 2 than they’d like to, the over in both games sounds like the right plays to me. 

MLB Pick: Over 11 (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 11 (-110)
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 *The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.