Postseason combatants last October, the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers meet for the second time in 2022 when they begin a series on Monday’s baseball betting card.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Monday, May 16, 2022 – 07:40 PM EDT at American Family Field
Revisiting Braves vs. Brewers
There’s a bit of déjà vu going on as the Atlanta Braves travel to Milwaukee to open a series with the Brewers. One year ago today, the Braves were stuck in third place of the NL East and not looking anything like a World Series caliber team while the Brewers were locked in a fight with the St. Louis Cardinals at the top of the NL Central.
Fast-forward to the present, and Atlanta is once again sitting third in the NL East and playing uninspired baseball, especially when taking into account what the MLB futures suggested for the Braves this season, and Milwaukee is on top of the NL Central where every team spent the past two weeks treading water and playing .500 baseball.
Who Will Take Monday's Series Opener?
Both sides would love to use this series as a springboard to a long winning streak, and according to the BMR's MLB odds board, it will be the Brewers who take Monday’s series opener. Atlanta is sending Ian Anderson (3-1, 4.20) out opposite Freddy Peralta (2-1, 4.40), and Milwaukee is running -125 or so on the moneyline with 7½-8 at various shops for the total.
Neither Anderson nor Peralta pitched when the clubs met in Atlanta a little more than a week ago, but they did face off against each other once last season. That matchup came in Game 3 of the NLDS in Atlanta where Peralta worked four scoreless innings to start things for Milwaukee and Anderson went five scoreless for the Braves.
Anderson is coming off a rather lackluster effort last Wednesday against the Red Sox, the 24-year-old righthander pitching into the sixth and allowing all three Boston runs in what was eventually a 5-3 Braves win. Orlando Arcia walked that one off with a 2-run blast in the ninth to make winners out of bettors holding Atlanta -110 tickets at Bovada.
Peralta has helped Milwaukee to the right side of the MLB scores in each of his last three trips to the mound. All three victories came with the Brewers closing as favorites – heavy -300 chalk in one of the assignments – and the Dominican allowing four earned runs across 16.2 innings while whiffing 22 would-be hitters.
Braves Lineup and Injury Report
Atlanta just split an 8-game homestand that started with these Brewers at Truist Park 10 days ago. It has been a combination of inconsistent offense and below-par pitching that has the Braves sitting three games under .500 and trailing the Mets by 6½.
Some of the offensive struggles might be traced to the Braves still trying to figure out life without Freddie Freeman in the lineup after the face of the franchise inked a new deal with the Dodgers in the offseason. Atlanta is also minus Ronald Acuña Jr. who is dealing with a groin injury. Acuña is listed as questionable for Monday’s matchup.
Milwaukee is getting its fair share of offense with a 4.89 RPG clip that ranks fourth in the Senior Circuit. Willy Adames and Hunter Renfroe have each gone deep nine times, tied for tops in the NL and helping the Brewers to a league-best 49 round-trippers, one reason they have a slight lean to the ‘over’ on the MLB odds.
Braves vs. Brewers Betting Pick
Milwaukee won the series opener a couple of weekends back in Atlanta, but the Braves bounced back to take the next two contests and the series. Two of the three matchups had some very tight moneylines at online betting sites, and two of the three ran ‘over’ totals which ranged from 7-8½ runs.
That was the first meeting between the clubs since they met in the NLDS last October, the Braves winning the best of 5 playoff series in four games. Both postseason games played in Milwaukee came up short of the numbers after two of the three regular-season matchups at the former Miller Park shot past the totals.
It should be a pretty nice evening in Milwaukee – upper-60s, clear skies, NW 8-10 mph – prompting me to believe the roof will be open. And it should be a pretty nice first game back home for the Brewers following their 9-game road trip. My free baseball pick is a run-line play on Milwaukee in a 5-3 triumph.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.