Having picked themselves up off the mat Sunday night in Atlanta, the Astros now look to even things up with the Braves on Tuesday’s sports betting card when the World Series shifts back to Houston for Game 6.
Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
Tuesday, November 2, 2021 – 8:09 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park
There wasn’t any reason to think there would be a Game 6 when Adam Duval swatted a grand slam in the first inning of Game 5 to give Atlanta a 4-0 advantage. It was the fourth grand slam Houston pitchers had allowed in the postseason, and the clout gave the Braves better than an 80% chance to win the game and the World Series.
They are still favored to win the Fall Classic according to the MLB futures odds. Atlanta is showing up at -240 to earn its fourth World Series title, the takeback on the Astros running around +200 to close out the campaign with a couple of victories and capture their second championship.
Astros Hitters Come Alive in Game Five
Houston is favored to at least force a seventh and deciding game with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) carrying the Astros -120 for Tuesday’s moneyline. We don’t even have an official starting pitcher for the Astros yet, though Houston skipper Dusty Baker suggested Luis Garcia (12-10, 3.63) was pretty much his only option. Atlanta hands the ball to Max Fried (15-9, 3.31), and a 9-run total is being taxed a little extra to the ‘under.’
Garcia might be Baker’s most logical option, but logic can often be thrown out the window when a team like Houston faces a ‘win or stay home’ scenario. If it is Garcia, he will be working on short rest after throwing 72 pitches last Friday night in Atlanta and taking the loss in the Braves’ 2-0 triumph. That was Garcia’s first career appearance against Atlanta’s lineup, and other than the four walks in his 3.2 innings, it wasn’t a bad outing and followed a strong start a week earlier to pitch Houston past the Boston Red Sox in the ALDS.
Had the Astros given Garcia a little support, he might’ve been allowed to pitch a little longer in Game 3. Houston hitters went cold in that contest and stayed in their slump Saturday before breaking out on Sunday. The two brightest spots in the boxscore were at the bottom of the order where Alex Bregman got the scoring started with an RBI double and Martin Maldonado drove in three with a sacks-drunk walk and 2-run single.
Fried Coming Off Worst Interleague Start of ‘21
Solid in his first two postseason performances, Fried’s last two have left a lot to be desired. Atlanta won his first two October starts but dropped his Game 5 outing in Los Angeles and last Tuesday’s assignment in Houston where the Braves were small underdogs on the MLB odds.
That Game 2 assignment was Fried’s first time to face the Astros who plated six runs in his five innings of work. During the regular season, Fried made three interleague starts – vs. the Blue Jays, Rays and Orioles – and turned in a combined 22 innings with just one run allowed.
Atlanta and Houston will now add an extra stick to their lineups in the form of a designated hitter, and Braves skipper Brian Snitker used Jorge Soler in that role for both games at Minute Maid Park a week ago. Soler was 3-for-9 with a homer in the DH slot, and he batted .294 with two long balls for the Series.
Will Minute Maide Roof be Open?
Mike Muchlinski lines up Tuesday to call balls and strikes for Tom Hallion’s crew. The 16-year veteran went a nondescript 16-14-2 O/U/P in his plate assignments during the regular season, but that record was 7-1 O/U with 9-run totals. Muchlinski is part of a World Series crew for the first time in his career, and this will be the second time to be at the dish this postseason. He worked Game 2 of the NLDS in Milwaukee, a 3-0 win for Fried and the Braves that was an easy ‘under’ winner at top sportsbooks.
It surprised me when the roof was open for Game 2 of the World Series last Wednesday, the first time for that to happen during the playoffs. The weather was nearly perfect (73°, clear) for the game, and Tuesday’s forecast calls for very similar conditions – maybe even a degree or two warmer – along with a 7-9 mph SE breeze (out to center).
Astros hitters finally broke through against a couple of Atlanta relievers on Sunday, something they hadn’t been able to do in the Series up to then. With both teams using the DH, I like the offense with a free MLB pick on the ‘over.’
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.