Bet This MLB Parlay at (+255) on Wednesday

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BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks and betting sites have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: the Cubs vs. Reds and Red Sox vs. White Sox.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the money-line for the first game and the total for the second.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

Wednesday, May 25, 2022 – 06:40 PM EDT at Great American Ball Park

Who Is Starting for the Cubs?

Kyle Hendricks starts tonight for the Cubs. On April 13, he allowed six earned runs in 3.2 innings in Pittsburgh. Then, on April 29, he conceded six earned runs in 4.1 innings in Milwaukee.

Those were two of his worst starts of the season. His third catastrophe came in his most recent start, in Arizona. In that start, he allowed four home runs. This last start was Hendricks' third of the season in which he surrendered multiple home runs.

Hendricks' vulnerability to the home run ball is something that the Reds can exploit because they average .33 more home runs at home in their characteristically hitter-friendly ballpark than on the road. This year, he has been a disaster in road games within his division.

Kyle Hendricks vs. Red Batters

In 12 career starts in Cincinnati, Hendricks suffers a 5.75 ERA. A lot of active Red batters have accumulated dominating track records against Hendricks.

Nick Senzel, Kyle Farmer, Tommy Pham, and Joey Votto are slugging between .538 and 1.167 in at least six career at-bats against Hendricks.

Hendricks is in a tough spot tonight because he is playing in Cincinnati.

Who Pitches for the Reds?

Luis Castillo makes his fourth start of the season tonight for the Reds after he finally displayed strong form in his last start. He last started against the Blue Jays and yielded a 1.44 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in that outing.

This season, on average, Castillo has shown a decline in velocity. However, he recovered his velocity in his last start against the Blue Jays.

Castillo's velo recovery is masked by his season velocity averages. His strong form and demonstrable preparedness to play well allow us to have faith in him.

Luis Castillo vs. Cubs Batters

What makes Castillo particularly reliable tonight is the fact that Cub batters match up poorly with him. Primarily, Castillo throws four pitches, which make up his entire pitching repertoire. 

These pitches are his high-velocity sinker, his changeup, his high-velo fastball, and his slider. Chicago ranks 23rd in slugging against Castillo's pitches.

MLB Pick: Reds ML (-122) with BetOnline

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox

Wednesday, May 25, 2022 - 08:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field

Who Pitches for Boston?

Rich Hill pitches for the Red Sox tonight. Hill has had it fairly easy this season in terms of the competition faced. He encountered one team that ranks top-nine in slugging against lefties. This team, Minnesota, scored four runs in Hill's 4.2 innings.

Hill is in a tough spot tonight because he has a terrible track record in Chicago's venue.

Rich Hill Against White Sox Batters

In 14.2 innings in Chicago, his career ERA is 7.36. Every active White Sox batter with at least three career at-bats against Hill has strong numbers against him.

With Hill on the mound, Jose Abreu is 1-for-3 with a double, Josh Harrison is 3-for-9 with a double and a homer, and AJ Pollock slugs .650 with three home runs in 20 at-bats.

Chicago poses a tougher test for Hill because it owns one of the best lineups against left-handed pitchers. The White Sox rank fifth in slugging against lefties.

Lucas Giolito vs. Red Sox

The Red Sox have scored six runs or more in each of their last five games. They promise to thrive also against White Sox starter Lucas Giolito tonight for two reasons:

  • Giolito has been at his worst against the teams that he is least familiar with, which are that outside of the AL Central.
  • Giolito throws primarily a fastball, changeup, and slider. 

With our MLB picks in mind, it hardly seems relevant to note who Boston's opponent on the mound is because of how hot the Red Sox are. The Red Sox match up well with Lucas Giolito in that they rank fifth in slugging against his pitches from righties.

MLB Pick: Over 8 (-105) with BetOnline

MLB Parlay Picks for May 25

Expect the Reds to defeat the Cubs and the Red Sox and White Sox to combine for a high-scoring affair.

For the above reasons, parlay the Reds ML with the Red Sox/White Sox over.

  • Reds ML (-122)
  • Red Sox vs. White Sox Over 8 (-105)

Be sure to use BMR's parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

MLB Pick: Two-legged Parlay (+255) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.