Bet This MLB Parlay at (+183) on Wednesday

profile image of Rainman
Michael Wacha #52 of the Boston Red Sox delivers a pitch during the first inning against the St. Louis Cardinals. Paul Rutherford/Getty Images/AFP

Today’s betting card offers so much to like. Let’s take advantage of a parlay. Top sportsbooks have released their odds for today’s baseball action.

Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in Detroit vs. Boston and Cleveland vs. Minnesota.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for both games. Feel free to parlay these bets at online sports betting site in order to maximize your profit.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox

Wednesday, June 22, 2022 – 07:10 PM EDT at Fenway Park

Who Pitches for Detroit?

Detroit starts Tarik Skubal whose awesome pitching stats indicate the success that he's enjoyed, overall, this season. The key word is "overall." 

While it may be tempting to rely on Skubal because of his superb ERA, one must remember that ERA is a season-long statistic, and it is a long season.

Skubal's ERA

Skubal's ERA misleads one as to how he is performing at this moment. He seems to have hit a wall as he has allowed a total of nine earned runs in his last two starts.

After surrendering four earned runs in four innings against Toronto, he allowed five earned runs in five innings against Texas. He collected the loss in both games.

Red Sox Batters Against Skubal

It makes particularly good sense to expect Skubal to suffer tonight because he matches up poorly with Red Sox batters.

Skubal, a lefty, primarily throws a:

  • slider
  • fastball
  • sinker
  • changeup

These pitches make up just over 92 percent of his arsenal.

Boston ranks eighth in slugging against these pitches from lefties. Among others, look out for Xander Bogaerts who is batting .392 and slugging .549 against lefties.

Who Starts for Boston?

The Red Sox starts Michael Wacha tonight who is an auto-play in Boston. This season, he has yielded three earned runs in 26.1 innings at home.

In Boston, opponents are hitting .185 and slugging .283 against Wacha. Yielding +5.1 units for his backers, he is by far Boston's most profitable pitcher overall on the season, largely due to his strong performances at home.

Wacha Pitches

Wacha promises to thrive tonight because the Tigers rank dead-last in slugging against what are his two favorite pitches by far:

  • fastball
  • changeup from righties

The Red Sox are being criminally underpriced thanks to their slow start to this season and thanks to Skubal's early-season achievements. Tonight presents an excellent opportunity to catch Boston at a price that is too cheap.

MLB Pick: Red Sox (-148) with BetOnline

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

Wednesday, June 22, 2022 - 07:40 PM EDT at Target Field

Who Starts for Cleveland?

Cleveland starts Triston McKenzie. In his last start against the Twins, McKenzie was very fortunate to allow three runs in seven innings.

His strong ERA in that start masks his awful 6.56 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) which reflects how poorly he actually performed in that start.

McKenzie's BABIP

McKenzie benefitted in that start from yielding a BABIP (batting average of balls in play) that was absurdly low given the awful job he did of preventing batters from making hard contact with his pitches.

Plus, he benefitted from a strand rate that could hardly have been higher.

Twins Batters Against McKenzie 

One should expect the Twins to perform superbly against McKenzie tonight because he is clearly a finesse pitcher --- he doesn't throw hard at all -- with extremely marked flyball tendencies.

Based on BA and slugging rate, the Twins are at their best against fly ball pitchers as opposed to ground ball ones and are easily at their best against finesse pitchers as opposed to power ones.
Plus, the Twins rank fifth in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties. 

Who Starts for Minnesota?

The Twins start with Sonny Gray who is an auto-play right now. They have won the last six games in which he started, his strong performances being the biggest reason why.

Gray has allowed a sub-two FIP in each of his last four starts. During this four-game span, he has allowed a combined total of three earned runs.

Guardians Batters Against Gray

He is sure to prolong his excellent form against a Guardian squad that ranks below average in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties. For example, expect little from Jose Ramirez.

Ramirez is tremendously important to Cleveland's lineup. However, he is no match for Gray. Against Gray, he is slugging .296 in 27 career at-bats.

MLB Pick: Twins (-145) with BetOnline

Parlay Verdict 

With your MLB picks in mind, expect strong wins from Boston and Minnesota. For the above reasons, parlay both teams on the money-line.

Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

Parlay Pick

  • Red Sox (-148)
  • Twins (-145)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+183) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

BetOnline logo
Two-Legged Parlay (+183)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.