Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Marlins vs. Cardinals and White Sox vs. Angels.
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for both games. Feel free to parlay both bets at one of our best betting sites in order to maximize your profit.
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Monday, June 27, 2022 – 07:45 PM EDT at Busch Stadium
Who Is Pitching for the Marlins Today?
Miami starts the regularly dominant Pablo Lopez.
Primarily, Lopez throws a fastball and changeup. These two pitches combine to make up 74.9% of his arsenal.
The Marlins righty also mixes in a cutter, sinker, and rarely a curveball as well.
Cardinals Batters Against Lopez
Lopez's worst games have come against teams that match up well against him in that they rank highly in slugging rate against his two favorite pitches from righties.
While teams like the Mets and Giants performed well against Lopez and rank top-eight in slugging against these two pitches from righties, the Cardinals rank 16th in the category.
While 16th isn't particularly low, Lopez is such a good pitcher that it takes a lineup that matches up excellently with him to have a competitive chance against him.
Cardinals Lineup Analysis
The Cardinals are at a disadvantage today because their lineup is righty-heavy.
Lopez is at his best against righties: they are hitting .203 and slugging .304 against him, while lefties are hitting .223 and slugging .427 against him. Plus, lefties are responsible for 7 of the 8 home runs that Lopez has allowed this year.
- St. Louis will position some batters from the left side of the plate today.
- Their top two switch-hitters are Tommy Edman and Dylan Carlson.
- Neither batter concerns me much because both are significantly stronger against left-handed pitching.
- St. Louis' top left-handed batter is Nolan Gorman. However, he does not enjoy strong form at the moment.
- Fellow lefty Corey Dickerson, who was anyhow struggling, is injured.
- There is only one active Cardinals batter who has multiple hits in his career facing Lopez: Nolan Arenado, who won't win the game for St. Louis by himself.
Who Is Pitching for the Cardinals Today?
The Cardinals start Adam Wainwright.
Wainwright primarily throws a fastball, sinker, and cutter. These are the three pitches that he throws with over 10% frequency. He throws each one between 24 and 29% of the time.
Marlins Batters Against Wainwright
I expect Wainwright to struggle tonight because Miami ranks fifth in slugging against his three favorite pitches from righties.
Several Marlin batters are hitting above .300 in at least three career at-bats with Wainwright on the mound.
Among others, look out for Avisail Garcia and Miguel Rojas. Garcia is 5-for-15 lifetime against Wainwright while Rojas is 3-for-8 in his career versus Wainwright.
MLB Pick: Marlins ML (+118) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, June 27, 2022 - 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Who Is Pitching for the White Sox Today?
Chicago starts the absolutely fade-worthy Lucas Giolito tonight. In his last three starts, Giolito yielded a 7.20 ERA against Texas, a 14.40 ERA against Houston, and a 12.60 ERA against Toronto. His worst games were his last two in which he allowed a combined total of 15 earned runs in 10 innings.
Giolito's fastball has been his biggest problem. Houston, Giolito's second-to-last opponent, slugged .909 against it. Most recently, Toronto slugged .818 against this pitch.
His fastball problems are severely important because it is by far his favorite pitch: he throws it 47.8% of the time.
Angels Batters Against Giolito
Primarily, Giolito throws a fastball, slider, and changeup. Together, these pitches make up nearly 96% of his arsenal.
Angels batters match up well against him in that they rank ninth in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
Who Is Pitching for the Angels Today?
The Angels start Noah Syndergaard who does not share Giolito's problems in terms of form.
Primarily, Syndergaard throws a sinker, changeup, fastball, and slider. He matches up well with the White Sox in that they rank 28th in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.
MLB Pick: Angels ML (-125) at BetOnline
MLB Parlay Verdict
With your MLB picks in mind, expect an upset win from Miami and a strong victory from the Angels.
For the above reasons, parlay both teams on the moneyline. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
MLB Parlay Picks for Today
- Marlins ML (+118)
- Angels ML (-125)
MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+292) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.