Bet This MLB Parlay at (+271) on Wednesday

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Top Sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Padres vs. Rockies and Astros vs. Angels.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the total for both games. Feel free to parlay both bets at one of our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

Wednesday, July 13, 2022 – 08:40 PM EDT at Coors Field

Who Is Pitching for the Padres Today?

San Diego starts Joe Musgrove tonight. Pertinently to my best bet for this game, the "Under" is 4-1 in Musgrove's starts against division rivals, and the "Under" is hitting in 62.5% of his road starts.

As measured by a variety of statistics, such as ERA and FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding), Musgrove is enjoying the best season of his career.

Interestingly, Musgrove is striking out fewer batters this year than he has in previous years. Evidently, strikeouts are overrated. What is crucial for Musgrove's success is his improved ability to induce soft contact.

Musgrove's Favorite Pitches

Musgrove is hard to hit because he commands a solid variety of pitches. He throws four different pitches with between 17% and 27% frequency. Opponents hit .149 against his slider, .236 against his fastball, .134 against his curveball, and .229 against his cutter.

As measured by percentile, he places a superb amount of spin on his fastball and curveball, which makes both pitches hard for batters to track.

With his slider and curveball, he repeatedly toys with the edges of the strike zone, often placing these pitches just outside of the strike zone and inducing batters to chase them. His cutter benefits from an even distribution of placement along the different parts of the strike zone.

Rockies' Batters Against Musgrove

Musgrove looks particularly reliable tonight because his recent track record against the Rockies is excellent.

Last year, he allowed one earned run in 18.1 innings against Colorado. This year, he shut them out in 6 innings.

While these starts took place outside of Coors Field, he has proven in his most recent starts there that he can perform well in this famously hitters-friendly venue.

Who Is Pitching for the Rockies Today?

Colorado starts Chad Kuhl tonight. He is a bit odd because he pitches better at home, in high-altitude Denver, than he does away from home.

His excellence at home contributes to the following trend: the "Under" is 5-1-1 in his home starts this year.

To be exact, his FIP is 3.67 at home compared to 4.85 on the road.

Padres' Batters Against Kuhl

Kuhl's dominant form in Colorado has victimized every opponent except an Arizona team that, given his pitching arsenal, matches up well against him.

Primarily, Kuhl throws a sinker-slider combo. These pitches combine for about 75% of his arsenal.

Whereas the Diamondbacks rank sixth against these pitches from righties, the Padres rank in the bottom half.

MLB Pick: Under 10.5 (-105) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Wednesday, July 13, 2022 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium

Who Is Pitching for the Astros Today?

Houston starts Cristian Javier tonight. He is a strong "Under" pitcher this season. The "Under" is hitting in 63.6% of his starts overall, in 80% of his road starts, and in 71.4% of his starts against division rivals.

Today, Javier looks particularly promising because he is in a great spot. He has proven to be a strong bounce-back pitcher. Thus, he is more reliable today because he is coming off a loss.

In all three of his previous starts off losses, he allowed 2 earned runs or fewer while yielding a sub-three FIP in all three starts.

Angels' Batters Against Javier

Tonight, Javier faces just the opponent that he should want to, in order to turn things around.

In 12.1 innings pitched against the Angels this year -- that is, in one start and two early-season relief appearances, -- he has allowed a combined total of one run. He yielded a sub-two FIP in all three of those appearances and a sub-one FIP in two of them.

Overall, he has allowed 3 earned runs in 17.2 innings in these three starts.

Who Is Pitching for the Angels Today?

L.A. starts the ridiculously consistent Shohei Ohtani tonight. He has allowed zero earned runs in each of his last four starts.

His strong numbers this entire season have been well-earned, as he succeeded in Houston and against teams that match up well against him in view of the pitches that he throws.

MLB Pick: Under 7 (-105) at BetOnline

MLB Parlay Verdict

With your MLB picks, expect low-scoring pitching duels in Denver and Anaheim.

For the above reasons, parlay the "Under" between the Padres and Rockies and Astros and Angels. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

MLB Parlay Picks for Today

  • Padres vs. Rockies: Under 10.5 (-105)
  • Astros vs. Angels: Under 7 (-105)

MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+271) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.