With a full slate of games on the horizon, we’ve put together the best moneyline, run line, and total for the Mets vs. Braves, Rockies vs. Cardinals, and Diamondbacks vs. Giants.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Wednesday, August 17, 2022 – 07:20 PM EDT at Truist Park
New York Mets
The New York Mets have lost two straight games to the Atlanta Braves by a combined score of 18-1. But don’t look into that too much.
The Mets lost their starter to injury in back-to-back games. Tonight, Max Scherzer will take the mound and should also hold it down.
Scherzer is 8-2 on the season with a 1.93 ERA. He’s struck out 26.3% of batters in the last 30 days while only walking 3.6% of batters. The veteran righty rarely allows line drive contact and is also limiting power very well on both sides of the plate.
With Atlanta hitting a .196 ISO and wOBA of .312, the Braves will need power to beat Scherzer. And they probably won’t get it.
On the other hand, Jake Odorizzi will take the mound for the Astros. He has a 6.11 xFI with 17.6% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. The newly acquired pitcher is 4-4 with a 3.80 ERA on the season. But he’s been inconsistent throughout his career.
The Mets have plenty of power bats that can get to Odorizzi, including Pete Alonso, Daniel Vogelbach, Jeff McNeil, and Tyler Naquin. All four of these batters have been red hot against righties in the last 30 days.
The Moneyline Pick
The Mets are only -150 against the Braves, which is a lopsided matchup like this. Look for the Mets to get back on track in tonight’s game and give the Braves a taste of their own medicine.
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Wednesday, August 17, 2022 - 07:45 PM EDT at Busch Stadium
The Cardinals made a deal at the trade deadline to bring in Jordan Montgomery. It’s already paid dividends, as he’s had two straight scoreless outings for the Cardinals since coming over.
But I’m not sure that will last very long. Sure, the Rockies haven’t been the best offense in the last 30 days against lefties, but their lineup is filled with 8 righties that could take advantage of the left-hander Montgomery.
The Rockies have only struck out 20.7% of the time with their projected lineup and figure to put the ball in play throughout Montgomery’s start. A couple of runs from the Rockies would be enough when it comes down to going over the total.
On the other hand, German Marquez will take the hill for the Rockies. He’s also not going to earn a whole lot of strikeouts in this game. He’s averaging just 18.7% in the last 30 days and will take on a Cardinals team that has a .210 ISO with a wOBA of .322 against righties.
St. Louis has limited ground balls to 33.2% and has hit 22.9% of line drives against righties with their projected lineup in the last 30 days.
The top of the order between Lars Nootbaar, Nolan Gorman, Paul Goldschmidt, and Nolan Arenado matches up well against any right-handed pitcher right now as they’re all hitting inflated numbers against righties.
The Over/Under Pick
If the Rockies can score a few, the Cardinals can do the rest. This game should go over the total.
MLB Pick: Over 7.5 (+100) at BetOnline
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Wednesday, August 17, 2022 - 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
San Francisco Giants
The San Francisco Giants are extremely hot right now. They’re a couple of games above .500 and are one of the hottest teams in baseball.
To make things even better, ace pitcher Carlos Rodon will take the hill. Rodon has an 11-5 record with a 2.95 ERA on the season.
In the last 30 days, Rodon has had a 3.79 xFIP with high strikeouts and low walks. Arizona has been a sneaky offense throughout the season against lefties, but Rodon won’t be easy to tag. The only real issue for Rodon is the power he allows to lefties but only Josh Rojas has any potential as a lefty against Rodon.
On the other hand, Zach Davies will get the call for Arizona. He is 2-4 with a 4.11 ERA on the season. He’s also got a 5.62 xFIP in the last 30 days with 11.8% of strikeouts and walks.
The Giants are much better when they’re not striking out and putting the ball in play. San Francisco is only hitting 33.5% of ground balls so if balls are in play, we’re going to see line drives and fly balls that can get out of the yard.
The Run Line Pick
Davies won’t fool this Giants lineup. Take the Giants -1.5 against the Diamondbacks.
MLB Pick: Giants RL -1.5 (+100) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.