Best MLB Player Props to Consider for Independence Day

profile image of Matthew.Jordan

It’s one of the marquee baseball days of the year with the American Independence Day holiday and a loaded slate around the majors.

Here are today’s player props with MLB odds from BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review), one of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. 

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics

Monday, July 04, 2022 – 09:07 PM EDT at Oakland Coliseum

Series opener between the teams. Toronto took two of three at home vs. Oakland from April 15-17. The A’s were actually competitive overall back then but now are just hot garbage at 26-55 and with a run differential of minus-116. 

Blue Jays Prop Bet: Alek Manoah 

  • To Have 5+ Strikeouts and Blue Jays To Win

I fully expect Jays' ace and Cy Young contender Alek Manoah (9-2, 2.09 ERA, 85 Ks) to win tonight and whiff at least five against the majors’ most anonymous lineup. On April 17, he allowed 2 runs over 6 innings vs. Oakland with 6 strikeouts. That will do just fine tonight. 

Even though Oakland lefty Cole Irvin has been pretty good at home this season, the team has lost his past nine starts. Irvin is the third pitcher in franchise history to appear in nine consecutive team losses, with all nine appearances being starts. 

Also, there’s this amazing nugget regarding Oakland: They have lost the first game of each of the last 12 series. Another loss tonight would tie the franchise record of 13, set three times, last in 1994. Overall, the A’s are a brutal 4-21 in Game 1s. 

MLB Prop Pick: Manoah to Record at Least 5 Strikeouts and Jays to Win (-228) at BetOnline 

BetOnline logo
Manoah to Record at Least 5 Strikeouts and Jays to Win (-228)
Visit Site

Blue Jays Prop Bet: Alejandro Kirk 

  • Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases 

Catcher/DH Alejandro Kirk is 2-for-2 off Irvin with a homer. Usually, guys hit better at home as they are used to the surroundings, etc., but Kirk is batting .345 with 11 extra-base hits on the road this year.  

MLB Prop Pick: Kirk Over 1.5 Total Bases (+117) at BetOnline

BetOnline logo
Kirk Over 1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Visit Site

Blue Jays Prop Bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 

  • Over/Under 0.5 RBIs

Blue Jays' star Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting well right now with 3 hits Sunday, his 19th multi-hit game of the season, and has driven in 7 runs in the past four. He is 1-for-5 career off Irvin.

MLB Prop Pick: Guerrero Over 0.5 RBIs (+145) at BetOnline 

BetOnline logo
Guerrero Over 0.5 RBIs (+145)
Visit Site

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox 

Monday, July 04, 2022 - 08:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field

Series opener between AL Central rivals. At 38-39, the White Sox have been one of the big disappointments in the American League but maybe they figured something out over the weekend in sweeping three games at San Francisco, never an easy chore. 

Twins Prop Bet: Dylan Bundy 

  • Over/Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 

The White Sox face one of the most mystifying pitchers in the majors in Twins right-hander Dylan Bundy (4-4, 4.71 ERA).

Dude can be dominant at times and has been pretty good over his past three starts but he also can be an utter gas can and he’s 2-3 with a 6.41 ERA on the road with 52 hits allowed in 39.1 innings. 

For our MLB picks, I struggle to see the Sox not getting at least 6 hits off Bundy unless he’s knocked out early injured. Just to help rest their overworked bullpen, the Twins almost have to leave him out there for at least 6 innings even if he’s shaky. 

MLB Prop Pick: Bundy Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-135) at BetOnline 

BetOnline logo
Bundy Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-135)
Visit Site

White Sox Prop Bet: Jose Abreu 

  • Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases 

Chicago’s Jose Abreu has had success off Bundy, going 7-for-18 with a double and homer. Hitting conditions look great tonight at Guaranteed Rate Field with the hot weather and it’s a hitters’ park anyways.

Abreu is batting nearly .400 with 7 doubles, 2 home runs, and 12 RBIs over his last 18 games. 

MLB Prop PickAbreu Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) at BetOnline 

BetOnline logo
Abreu Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Visit Site

Twins Prop Bet: Byron Buxton 

  • Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases 

As for Byron Buxton, he’s a fine player but in a major slump right now in batting .130 with 11 strikeouts in 23 at-bats over the past seven days.

Too bad there’s no batter strikeouts prop – at least at BetOnline there isn’t. Buxton is hitting .222 on the road this year and is 0-for-2 career with a strikeout vs. White Sox starter Johnny Cueto.  

MLB Prop Pick: Buxton Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120) at BetOnline 

BetOnline logo
Buxton Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.