Record-setting Framber Valdez of the Houston Astros is on the mound in Detroit on Monday, and we expect a profitable outing from him.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
Monday, September 12, 2022 – 06:40 PM EDT at Comerica Park
If you have been following my MLB props picks this season here at BMR, you know it’s not really a secret that I tend to back pitchers who face either the Detroit Tigers or Oakland A’s because those clubs are so terrible offensively.
Well, Oakland isn’t playing Monday so Tigers alone it is.
Astros' Prop Bet: Framber Valdez
- Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts
- Over/Under 20.5 Outs Recorded
It’s lefty Framber Valdez on the mound for the Astros, and he has 23 consecutive quality starts, at least 6 innings pitched with 3 or fewer earned runs allowed.
That’s the longest such streak by a southpaw in MLB history. It’s tied with Jack Taylor in 1902 for the fourth-longest streak in overall. Valdez did allow 4 runs last time out vs. Texas but only 2 were earned.
He struck out a season high 11. Valdez actually has been better on the road with a 9-2 record and 2.24 ERA. He beat Detroit on May 5, allowing 2 runs over 6 innings. We will need him to go seven tonight.
MLB Prop Pick: Valdez Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-155) at BetOnline
MLB Prop Pick: Valdez Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130) at BetOnline
MLB Prop Pick: Valdez Over 20.5 Outs Recorded (-105) at BetOnline
Astros' Prop Bet: Jose Altuve
- At Least 3 Hits + Runs + RBIs
It’s lefty Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound for Detroit. Houston second baseman Jose Altuve is 6-for-16 off him career with a double and two homers.
Altuve leads MLB with 10 leadoff homers. It’s the eighth time in MLB history for a player to reach 10 leadoff homers in a season and the first time since George Springer set the Astros record by hitting 12 in 2019.
I’m not saying Altuve is going yard in his first at-bat tonight, but if he does we already win this prop.
MLB Prop Pick: Altuve at Least 3 Hits + Runs + Rbis (-105) at BetOnline
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians
Monday, September 12, 2022 - 06:10 PM EDT at Progressive Field
Angels' Prop Bet: Mike Trout
- Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs
I generally don’t recommend home run props, but let’s roll with one here on Angels star Mike Trout.
He was given Sunday off in Houston, which is weird considering that Trout has homered in six straight games and you don’t really wanna mess with streaks.
Overall, Trout is hitting .316 with a 1.106 OPS over 20 games since returning from the injured list.
Trout has been killing lefties this year, batting .333 with a 1.089 OPS.
MLB Prop Pick: Trout Over 0.5 Home Runs (+300) at BetOnline
Guardians' Prop Bet: Konnor Pilkington
It’s Guardians lefty Konnor Pilkington on the mound. Pilkington has a 4.69 ERA and has allowed 47 hits in 40 1/3 innings in his 9 starts.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, September 12, 2022 - 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Diamondbacks' Prop Bet: Ketel Marte
- Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases
You can stream this game on ESPN+. It’s lefty Tyler Anderson (14-3, 2.73 ERA) on the mound for Los Angeles, and while he is having a career year, Arizona’s Ketel Marte is 10-for-23 with 5 doubles and 2 homers career off him.
Marte originally was off Sunday but ended up pinch-hitting and had a two-RBI double. Marte is hitting nearly 70 points higher this season against lefties overall.
MLB Prop Pick: Marte Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.