Best MLB Player Props for Padres vs. Phillies NLCS Game 3 

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Bryce Harper #3 of the Philadelphia Phillies hits a home run against the San Diego Padres. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP.

The NL Championship Series between the Phillies and Padres is tied 1-1 as it shifts to Philadelphia for Game 3 on Friday night.

Here are today’s player props with MLB odds from BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review), one of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. 

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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Friday, October 21, 2022 – 07:37 PM EDT at Citizens Bank Park

The Series So Far

It’s going to be a madhouse at Citizens Bank Park on Friday night as the Phillies host Game 3 of the NLCS against the Padres – the first home NLCS game for Philadelphia since 2010. In all the best-of-seven series that were tied 1-1, the Game 3 winner has captured the series 67 of 97 times (69%)

By the way, what’s going on in the City of Brotherly Love? Obviously, the Phillies are here, the Eagles are the NFL’s only unbeaten and even the NHL’s Flyers are good. The NBA’s 76ers are 0-2 but will be fine.

San Diego looked doomed to fall down 2-0 when it was down 4-0 entering the bottom of the second in Game 2 on Wednesday but rallied for an 8-5 win. That’s one major weakness for the Phillies: The bullpen.

Here are the props we won in that game:

  • Bryce Harper Over 1.5 total bases
  • JT Realmuto Over 0.5 hits
  • Aaron Nola Over 5.5 strikeouts (even though he was off)

One cool side note from Game 2 was Padres catcher Austin Nola getting the best of the first sibling batter-pitcher matchup in postseason history today. Austin recorded an RBI single off brother Aaron as part of the Padres' five-run fifth. He has two career hits against Aaron, both of which were RBI singles. 


Padres Prop Bet: Joe Musgrove

  • Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts 
  • Over/Under 1.5 Earned Runs 

Right-hander Joe Musgrove is on the mound tonight for the Friars. He was 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.08 WHIP during the regular season – which earned him a big extension.

Musgrove faced the Phillies on June 23 in San Diego and allowed 6 runs and 7 hits in 6 innings in a loss. That was one of his worst outings of the year.

In this postseason, the 29-year-old is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA, allowing only seven hits in 13 innings and the Phils clinched a series in both. In fact, he hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned in a start since Sept. 11. 

MLB Prop Pick: Musgrove Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125) at BetOnline 

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Musgrove Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125)
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MLB Prop Pick: Musgrove Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+130) at BetOnline 

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Musgrove Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+130)
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Phillies Prop Bet: Bryce Harper

  • Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs 

Red-hot Bryce Harper is 3-for-14 off Musgrove with 7 strikeouts, but Harper is the seventh player in franchise history to record a seven-game hitting streak during a single postseason.

He is the first since 2009, when Ryan Howard had an eight-game playoff hitting streak.

MLB Prop Pick: Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110) at BetOnline 

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Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110)
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Phillies Prop Bet: Kyle Schwarber

  • Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs 

Kyle Schwarber is just 2-for-16 with 8 Ks off Musgrove. Really the only Phillies player with decent splits vs. Musgrove is Jean Segura, who has five singles in 15 at-bats. 

MLB Prop Pick: Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs (-425) at BetOnline 

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Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs (-425)
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Phillies Prop Bet: Ranger Suarez

  • Over/Under 1.5 Earned Runs 

San Diego has the starting pitching edge it appears as the Phils counter with inconsistent lefty Ranger Suarez. He was 10-7 with a 3.65 ERA during the regular season – very solid numbers.

But the 27-year-old had a 4.27 ERA at home compared to 3.20 on the road and a 2.81 ERA during the day compared to 3.87 at night. Suarez pitched in San Diego on June 23 and allowed 2 runs over 7.1 innings in a victory.  

Alas, he lasted only 3.1 innings in his final regular-season start in Houston and then just 3.1 in his NLDS start in Atlanta, although he wasn’t terrible in giving up one run. No question Suarez will have a short leash, though.

When he takes the mound against the Padres, it will have been 10 days since his disappointing start in Atlanta. Maybe that will help as he has pitched a career-high in innings.  

"I thought he was really good coming down the stretch," Phillies manager Rob Thomson said. "The start against Atlanta was not Ranger-esque, but I think he was a little bit amped up because of the playoff game. I think he'll be better [Friday], especially in front of our own fans." 

MLB Prop Pick: Suarez Over 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-150) at BetOnline 

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Padres Prop Bet: Juan Soto

  • Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs 

Padres star Juan Soto is 0-for-8 career off Suarez and is hitting just .222 in these playoffs with 8 strikeouts. A breakout game might be coming.

He has a 62.1% hard-hit rate (95 mph or harder), which ranks fifth among all MLB players with at least 10 batted balls in play this postseason. 

Of 42 hitters with at least 20 plate appearances in these playoffs, Soto is third with a .324 expected batting average (based on quality of contact) but tied for 20th in actual batting at .222. 

MLB Prop Pick: Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-115) at BetOnline 

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.