The final full month of the 2022 baseball season is here, so let the playoff chase officially begin … and other teams will start tanking more than they already are.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves
Thursday, September 01, 2022 – 07:20 PM EDT at Truist Park
Spencer Strider and Michael Harris
- Over/Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- To Record A Win
- Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases
The 2022 National League Rookie of the Year is going to be a member of the Atlanta Braves, but we don’t know which one yet between starting pitcher Spencer Strider or outfielder Michael Harris (who already has signed a long-term contract extension).
Strider is the -155 favorite at BMR’s top-rated books – although he could shift to the bullpen soon simply to save wear and tear on his arm – and Harris is +110.
We like big games for both tonight in a massive mismatch against the visiting Rockies. Colorado is one of MLB’s worst offensive teams on the road (hitting .235 compared to MLB-best .286 at home) and has scored three runs or fewer in four straight games on this current road trip.
Strider (8-4, 2.87 ERA) has allowed exactly one earned run in three straight and five of his past six outings. At home, he has a 2.54 ERA in 56.2 innings and batters are hitting just .201 off him.
Strider has faced the Rockies once, on June 4 in Colorado, and allowed one run over two hits over four innings.
MLB Prop Pick: Strider Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-120) at BetOnline
MLB Prop Pick: Harris Over 1.5 Total Bases (+124) at BetOnline
MLB Prop Pick: Strider to Record a Win (-135) at BetOnline
- Over/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed
The Rockies start struggling right-hander Chad Kuhl (6-7, 5.17 ERA).
Since a stunning complete-game shutout against the Dodgers on June 27 at Coors Field – maybe the most unlikely pitching outing of the 2022 season – Kuhl has a 9.39 ERA and has allowed opponents to hit .339 with a 1.106 OPS. He has a higher road ERA (9.87) during that stretch than home ERA (8.78).
Either Strider or Harris should win NL Rookie of the Month honors for August as Harris hit .337 with 12 doubles, four homers, 22 runs scored, and 15 RBIs in the month. He is 1-for-2 career against Kuhl.
MLB Prop Pick: Kuhl Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-150) at BetOnline
- To Have 1+ Hits & Braves To Win
We’ll also lean a hitting prop on Braves shortstop Dansby Swanson, the former No. 1 overall pick.
He’s 4-for-7 career off Kuhl with a double and a walk.
MLB Prop Pick: Swanson to Have 1+ Hits and Braves to Win (-334) at BetOnline
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
Thursday, September 01, 2022 – 06:10 PM EDT at Progressive Field
- Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases
Want to see the 2023 American League Rookie of the Year betting favorite? Then tune into this game.
Orioles infielder Gunnar Henderson made his big-league debut on Wednesday in Cleveland and did so in style by homering in his first at-bat in a very important 4-0 win for the Orioles as they closed within two games of Toronto for the AL’s final Wild-Card spot.
Henderson, ranked the No. 2 overall prospect in the sport by MLB.com, was the first Orioles player to hit a home run in his MLB debut since Trey Mancini in 2016. At 21 years and 63 days old, he was the youngest player in franchise history to homer in his debut. Henderson's helmet completely fell off as he swung, leaving what one writer termed his "glorious lettuce" (i.e. hair) flapping in the wind.
MLB Prop Pick: Henderson Under 0.5 Total Bases (+110) at BetOnline
- Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Yes, Henderson can still technically be a rookie to open next season as long as he doesn’t have more than 130 regular-season at-bats this year – and he probably will not reach that total with the occasional game off in Baltimore’s final 33 games.
Henderson finished 2-for-4 overall Wednesday, but I think he will find things much tougher tonight against 2020 AL Cy Young winner Shane Bieber (8-7, 3.02 ERA). He was terrific in August with a 1.62 ERA.
MLB Prop Pick: Bieber Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-165) at BetOnline
- Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases
We will back Guardians All-Star third baseman Jose Ramirez at the plate tonight against Orioles rookie Kyle Bradish (2-5, 5.63 ERA). Bradish was awesome last time out in Houston in throwing eight shutout innings, but that was easily the furthest he has gone in a game so his arm might be a bit fatigued.
Ramirez was 2-for-4 with a double Wednesday and has at least one hit in nine of his past 12 games – he's turned in four multi-hit efforts during that stretch. Ramirez leads the majors with 16 games of at least two extra-base hits this season. We only need one to win this prop.
MLB Prop Pick: Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.