It’s the first day after the MLB Trade Deadline, so we could see acquisitions like Juan Soto make debuts with their new teams.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Wednesday, August 03, 2022 – 07:05 PM EDT at PNC Park
- To Have At Least 1+ Hits and Brewers To Win
Milwaukee’s Christian Yelich may never play at an MVP level again as he did in 2018 when he won the NL MVP. Or as he was in 2019 when he was second to the Dodgers' Cody Bellinger (talk about someone who also won’t play at an MVP level again), but a recent switch at the plate has worked wonders for him.
Essentially, he added a toe tap to his swing: “I figured, let’s just try some stuff,” Yelich said recently. “I started off a tee by myself. I was playing with it to see if it could work. I knew I wanted to come up with something different. I’d had enough of what I was doing. It wasn’t fun sucking every night, so I was going to come up with something different to see if we could have better results.
"I didn’t really know what it was going to be, but I felt like that was similar – since I had a leg kick, I’ve always had a movement for timing – and I had to do something to get that rhythm, otherwise it wasn’t going to work. A no-stride, I don’t think that would have worked for me...”, he added.
It's All In the Swing
During Tuesday’s loss in Pittsburgh, Yelich extended his hitting streak to 11 games by going 2-for-5 – his fourth straight multi-hit game. Yelich is batting north of .370 in that stretch and has raised his average from .248 to .263. The Pirates are expected to start Tyler Beede today, and Yelich is 2-for-4 career off him with a homer. He only has eight homers this season and not since July 2.
Milwaukee was a huge favorite Tuesday behind reigning Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes, but he blew a 3-0 lead, issued a career-high five walks and was charged with four runs in 5.1 innings in the loss. I struggle to see another loss as Freddy Peralta comes off the injured list for the Brew Crew.
He hasn’t pitched since May 22 but is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 48.1 career innings against the Pirates. Beede likely will only serve as a pseudo-opener for the Bucs and then be followed by Chase De Jong. Beede has worked exclusively in relief for the Pirates since they claimed him off waivers from the Giants in May.
MLB Prop Pick: Christian Yelich to Have at least 1+ Hit and Brewers to Win (+177) at BetOnline
- Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases
One batter I like for the Pirates today is Bryan Reynolds. Actually, I'm surprised he wasn’t dealt on Tuesday’s deadline. He has gone six straight games without a hit to see his average drop from .262 to .248, but Reynolds is 7-for-16 career off Peralta with:
- 1 double
- 1 triple
- 1 homer
Reynolds has collected 62 career hits against the Brewers, his most vs. any team in his career. Since the beginning of the 2019 season, Reynolds' 62 hits against Milwaukee are the most by any player.
MLB Prop Pick: Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases (+118) at BetOnline
Oakland A’s vs. Los Angeles Angels
Wednesday, August 03, 2022 - 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
- Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts
- Over/Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
The Angels didn’t trade dual-threat star Shohei Ohtani by Tuesday’s Trade Deadline but did ship out:
- Brandon Marsh (Outfielder)
- Noah Syndergaard (Pitcher)
- Raisel Iglesias (Pitcher)
So, they are in full tank mode the rest of the way. Meanwhile, Oakland has been in full tank mode since the season started.
Only Pitching Props
We always write when Ohtani (9-6, 2.81 ERA, 145 strikeouts) is on the mound, and he is here. Throw out one bad inning in Atlanta, on July 22, and Ohtani has been utterly dominant since June 9 – allowing two earned runs in every start but against the Braves and that was a bit of a fluke.
Ohtani also has struck out at least 10 in six straight games. He has joined Nolan Ryan as the only pitchers in Angels history to record double-digit strikeouts in six consecutive pitching appearances. Ryan had an Angels record seven-game streak in 1977 and a six-game streak spanning 1972-73.
Ohtani leads the majors with nine starts recording at least 10 strikeouts this season and a 13.14 strikeouts-per-nine innings ratio (minimum 90 innings pitched). His 35.1 percent whiff rate ranks fourth in MLB.
In his nine games at Angel Stadium this season, Ohtani has a 2.15 ERA and 81 strikeouts in 54.1 innings. In six career starts vs. Oakland, he’s 2-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 33 innings. This year’s A’s team has probably the worst lineup in the majors.
I don’t do Ohtani hitting props for our MLB picks when he pitches, and he’s 0-for-7 career with four strikeouts against A’s pitcher James Kaprielian.
MLB Prop Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 8.5 Strikeouts (-130) at BetOnline
MLB Prop Pick: Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.