Best MLB Player Prop Bets for July 7

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It’s Thursday, meaning getaway day for some teams, and thus be careful as a regular or two could get a seat ahead of traveling.

Here are today’s player props with MLB odds from BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review), one of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. 

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies 

Thursday, July 07, 2022 – 04:05 PM EDT at Citizens Bank Park

Nationals vs. Phillies: What You Should Know

Series finale between these teams and above I mentioned that some clubs could rest a key player or two in a getaway game like this. But there’s no way the Phillies will rest red-hot Kyle Schwarber, especially with the team’s other big left-handed bat, Bryce Harper, out injured. 

Phillies Prop Bet: Kyle Schwarber 

  • Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs 

Kyle Schwarber is a massively streaky hitter. Some weeks, you don’t want to touch him on your prop bets, but others, he becomes Barry Bonds. 

He is on a heater right now as he has become the first Phillies player with consecutive two-homer games since Chase Utley in 2006. His 27 homers are the most by a Phillies player in his first 80 games with the organization and the fifth most by a Phils player before the All-Star break.

Schwarber also is the third player ever to have at least 25 homers through 80 personal games in back-to-back seasons for different teams – he also did it last year with Washington. Finally, he has 5 multi-homer games this season. Only the Yankees’ Aaron Judge has more this season with 6.

MLB Prop Pick: Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs (+210) at BetOnline 

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Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs (+210)
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Nationals Prop Bet: Joan Adon 

  • Over/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed 

I don’t recommend home run props often for MLB picks, but we will do so tonight because Schwarber is facing the worst pitcher in the major leagues right now in the Nationals’ Joan Adon (1-11, 6.97 ERA, 70 hits allowed in 60.2 innings).

It’s almost to the point where you feel sorry for the 23-year-old whenever he takes the mound. No pitcher has been a bigger money loser in MLB as he has been worth minus-$1112 on a $100 wager for every start.  

Adon was sent down to Triple-A following his most recent start on June 17 vs. Philadelphia in which he allowed 4 runs in 5 innings but apparently, the Nats need him tonight for some strange reason. I don’t expect it to go well. 

MLB Prop Pick: Adon Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-150) at BetOnline 

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Adon Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-150)
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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox

Thursday, July 07, 2022 - 08:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field

Tigers vs. White Sox: What You Should Know

Sometimes, one wild victory can kick-start a team’s season. That might have been the case for the inconsistent White Sox on Wednesday against Minnesota.

The Pale Hose welcomed back slugger Eloy Jimenez from a long stint on the injured list and his infusion of power was evident as a team that had ranked just 27th in homers entering Wednesday hit three of them, including one from Jimenez.

The Sox, who had been winless vs. Minnesota this year, rallied from multiple deficits, including 8-6 in the bottom of the eighth, to win 9-8. 

White Sox Prop Bet: Jose Abreu 

  • At Least 2 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Jose Abreu was a big part of that success going 2-for-5 with an RBI. The former AL MVP is on an 11-game hitting streak, during which he's batting blistering .455 (20-for-44). 

He faces struggling young Tigers starter Beau Brieske (1-6, 4.54 ERA), who ranks in the bottom-10 percentile in xBA, xSLG, xwOBA, barrel percentage, strikeout percentage, and strikeout rate. 

MLB Prop Pick: Abreu at Least 2 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145) at BetOnline 

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Abreu at Least 2 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145)
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White Sox Prop Bet: Dylan Cease 

  • Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts 

White Sox starter Dylan Cease (7-3, 2.51 ERA) is apt to give up home runs, but he’s a strikeout machine with 125Ks in 86.0 innings. Cease is averaging 13.08 SO/9.0 IP (125 SO/86.0 IP), which would be the sixth-highest mark in MLB history by a starting pitcher (excluding 2020). 

All that said, this number is too high. I think Cease gets 7-8 strikeouts but it’s not exactly easy to get 9. And what if he leaves early due to injury? 

Note: I haven’t seen a prop posted on Detroit’s Harold Castro as of this writing, but he might be worth a hit prop as he has good splits off Cease, going 12-for-26 with 2 doubles, a triple, and a homer.  

MLB Prop Pick: Cease Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-108) at BetOnline

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Cease Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.