Why doesn’t MLB have a matinee every day of the week simply for betting purposes? It’s a full slate Tuesday, but the first pitch isn’t until 06:35 PM EDT.
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tuesday, May 24, 2022 – 06:40 PM EDT at Tropicana Field
Pablo Lopez vs. Shane McClanahan
Who Has More Strikeouts?
First game of this series between state rivals. This got the nickname Citrus Series way back when, but I’ve honestly never heard anyone call it that in person.
It does look to be perhaps the top pitching matchup of the night between Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez and Rays lefty Shane McClanahan – the total of 6.5 runs is tied for the lowest on the board.
Lopez is 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA that’s third in the majors and has 48 strikeouts in 46 innings. Lopez was pretty good the past two seasons but not on this level, so I’m skeptical.
Twice this season he only had two strikeouts in a start but also had 11 in one outing vs. Milwaukee. McClanahan is 3-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 65 strikeouts (second in the majors) in just 46.1 innings.
How dominant has McClanahan’s changeup been this season? In at-bats against him ending with that changeup, batters literally have yet to get a hit this season.
Last time out, McClanahan became the 29th pitcher since 1901 to reach 200 strikeouts within his first 33 career games and the fourth lefty, joining the Phillies’ Cole Hamels in 2006-07, Yankees’ Al Downing in 1961-64, and Indians’ Herb Score in 1955.
McClanahan has struck out at least seven batters in every start this year but one. He’ll win this MLB prop pick handily barring injury.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
Tuesday, May 24, 2022 – 07:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium
- Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
To Record A Win?
I expect the Yankees to play quite angry here – then again, I thought that yesterday when ace Gerrit Cole was on the mound and New York was coming off being swept in a home doubleheader by the White Sox on Sunday.
Instead, the Yanks were one of the biggest upset losers of the season Monday at -310 in a 6-4 home loss to these Orioles.
We did two props on Cole and did hit at least the over/under 8.5 strikeouts as he finished with 11.
Today, I am fading Baltimore lefty pitcher Bruce Zimmermann in a big way with the Yanks on their first three-game skid and likely feeling some urgency.
Zimmermann, a Baltimore native, has decent numbers overall at 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA but is 0-1 with a 5.02 ERA in three starts this year against the Yankees.
In his lone start at Yankee Stadium on April 28, he allowed four runs and seven hits in four innings of a loss.
He actually has gotten worse in each start vs. New York, capped last Thursday by allowing five runs and seven hits over five innings at Camden Yards.
MLB Pick: Zimmermann over 2.5 earned runs allowed (-135) with BetOnline
MLB Pick: Zimmermann no to record a win (-500) with BetOnline
- At Least 3 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Aaron Judge was a bright spot of Monday’s loss in going 2-for-3 with two homers, three RBIs and two runs. It was his 20th career multi-home run game and fourth of the season.
The 20 such games are the second-most in MLB history through 612 career games, trailing only Ralph Kiner (24).
Judge’s 17 homers lead the majors and he’s only the fifth player in franchise history (sixth time) to hit at least 17 in the Yankees' first 42 games of a season, joining Mickey Mantle (20 in 1956), Babe Ruth (19 in 1928, 18 in 1930), Alex Rodriguez (17 in 2007) and Tino Martinez (17 in 1997).
Judge has joined Ruth as the second Yankee to record at least four multi-homer games in the Yankees’ first 42 games of a season.
Expect another big night Tuesday as Judge is 5-for-11 career off Zimmermann with two homers. A three-run homer alone obviously wins this prop.
MLB Pick: Judge at least 3 hits + runs + RBIs (-122) with BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.