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Astros vs. Red Sox Free MLB Picks and Odds Breakdown

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Astros vs. Red Sox Free MLB Picks and Odds Breakdown
Michael Brantley #23 of the Houston Astros sides safely into home plate past the tag of Christian Vazquez #7 of the Boston Red Sox. Adam Glanzman/Getty Images/AFP

The Houston Astros will be going for the series win when they face the Boston Red Sox in the final game of their three-game series on Thursday night.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox

Thursday, June 10, 2021 – 07:10 PM EDT at Fenway Park

The Astros have played well over the past week and they’ve won seven of their last nine games. They have reduced Oakland’s lead in the AL West to one game and will try to move into a tie for the division lead with a win over the Red Sox, which will give them their eighth win in their last 10 contests and a juicy number in the best sportsbooks.

Game Preview

Houston is averaging 5.33 runs per game. Their .268 batting average is first in the league. Their .340 on base percentage is second, while their .430 slugging percentage is fourth. Houston is 7-3 in its last 10 games against Boston.

Yuli Gurriel leads Houston with a .333 batting average and 42 RBI, while Carlos Correa leads the team with 11 RBI. Houston’s pitching has also been very good. Opponents have a .222 batting average against the Astros, which is sixth in the league. Their 3.74 ERA is 10th, while their 1.19 WHIP 10th.

In his last start, Greinke gave up six hits and one run in nine innings, leading to a 13-1 win over Toronto. Take it into consideration for your betting odds, since they will need another solid effort from him if they want to get the win. The Red Sox had their five-game winning streak snapped by Houston in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss with a win over the Astros, which will give them their sixth win in their last seven games.

Boston is averaging 4.92 runs per game. Their .257 batting average is third. Their .316 on base percentage is 11th, while their .435 slugging percentage is second in the league. Xander Bogaerts leads Boston with a .321 batting average, while Rafael Devers leads the team with 15 home runs and 48 RBI.

Boston’s pitching isn’t very good. Opponents have a .250 batting average against the Red Sox, which is 24th in the league. Their 3.87 ERA is 12th, while their 1.35 WHIP is 22nd. In his last start, Rodriguez gave up five hits and three runs in 5.1 innings, helping the team get a 7-3 win over New York. According to top sportsbooks, they will need a better performance from him if they want to win this game.

Prediction

The Red Sox have won five of their last six games and they played well offensively during the stretch. However, their pitching has been a cause for concern, which will be a problem against the Astros, who have the top scoring offense in the league. Rodriguez pitched well at the start of the season, but he has struggled in recent starts, giving up 22 runs in his last five starts.

The Astros are batting almost .290 against left-handers and scored six runs against Rodriguez when they faced him last month, so expect them to play well once again. Even though the Red Sox have one of the best offenses in the league, they had a hard time scoring against the Astros in their last series, scoring nine runs in four games. Greinke has been great on the mound for Houston and gave up five runs in his last four road starts, so expect him to keep Boston’s offense in check as they pick up the win.

MLB Pick: Houston Astros -120 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Houston Astros (-120)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.