Angels vs. Astros MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

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Michael Lorenzen #25 of the Los Angeles Angels throws a pitch during the first inning against the Seattle Mariners Alika Jenner/Getty Images/AFP

A weekend series between AL West rivals gets underway on Friday, and we have a free MLB pick for the series opener between Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels as they go up against the division-leading Houston Astros.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros

Friday, July 1, 2022 – 08:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park

We are halfway through the year and nearly to that point in the 2022 baseball season, meaning now would be a good time for the Los Angeles Angels to make good on the promise of the MLB future odds and start putting some pressure on the Houston Astros in the AL West.

Listed as the probable pitchers for Friday’s series opener are Michael Lorenzen (6-5, 4.24) and Cristian Javier (5-3, 2.73).

The Astros are favored in the -155 to -160 range on the moneyline. Scoreboard bettors are looking at an 8½-run total that generally favors the ‘under.

Angels vs. Astros Series Recap

This is the third series the clubs have played this year, the first two taking place in April. Visitors won both of those sets, the Astros taking three of four in Anaheim and the Angels two of three in Houston. The Astros are 21-11 at home this season while the Angels are 16-18 on the road.

Angels vs. Astros Series Trends

  • The Astros have won 17 of the last 26 meetings, and have a 103-72 lead in the rivalry all-time.
  • Two of the three games at Minute Maid Park in April went ‘over’ the totals at the best online betting sites.
  • The clubs have a quick rematch on deck with a series in Anaheim a little more than a week from now.

Michael Lorenzen Analysis

Lorenzen is among the pitchers who are happy to calendars flip from June to July. The Anaheim native had but one quality effort in four starts, with two more of stinky status. After beginning June with a very respectable 3.19 ERA, that calculation rose to 4.24 during June.

Control was behind part of Lorenzen’s struggles. He walked 15 batters in his first eight starts (48 IP), and added 13 more across 20 innings in June.

Four of those free passes – plus a hit batsman – came in three innings last Friday in a loss to the Mariners, who were +140 underdogs on the MLB odds.

Prior to this season, Lorenzen had only faced the Astros twice before as a reliever, those appearances taking place in 2019 while he was with the Reds, and his April start in Houston was a forgettable performance in an 8-3 Angels loss (3.1 IP, 4 ER).

Cristian Javier Analysis

Few trips to the mound get any better than Javier’s last start. The 25-year-old tossed the first seven innings of a no-hitter at Yankee Stadium last Saturday and struck out a career-high 13 along the way.

The effort helped Astros backers to cash juicy +176 tickets at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review). The victory was Javier’s second in a row, and Houston’s fourth in his last six assignments.

In addition to the new personal best of 13 strikeouts, he also threw a career-high 115 pitches. Javier’s 2.73 ERA would rank in the top 20 in the majors if he had a few extra innings to qualify.

Both appearances against the Angels this season came out of the bullpen back in April when Javier worked a combined 5.1 innings of scoreless baseball while striking out seven, and Houston has won his two previous starts against them, one each in 2020 and 2021.

Minute Maid Park Roof Report

For anyone wondering if the roof will be open or closed at Minute Maid Park on Friday evening or the rest of the series, my advice is to go out and buy a globe, find Houston on it, then draw your own conclusion based on the fact it is July.

Houston Stars Sidelined

The two newest injury concerns are on the Houston side. Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Peña collided Wednesday in a game against the Mets, and both missed Thursday’s contest against the Yankees due to concussion protocol. They are listed as questionable for Friday.

MLB Pick for Today

Houston has to be happy after winning seven of nine over the last week-&-a-half against the two New York teams, but there’s always the danger of a letdown after being in the spotlight, especially when a team is missing two key components like Alvarez and Peña.

Add in the drop-off we see so often when a pitcher is coming off a no-hitter, and the ingredients all seem to be there for the Angels to begin this series with an upset.

MLB Pick: Angels (+146) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.