This game between the two most recent champions of England is very likely to attract a lot of interest and its place in the TV schedule is sure to bring in a lot of viewers but looking at the stats, it shouldn’t really provide the kind of spectacle we’d all like to see.
Before their defeat against Spurs, Chelsea had been on a fantastic run and there is no reason to think they won’t go straight back to those kind of performances in the coming weeks. They seem on course for the title this year and it will take a very good side to beat or even match them. Leicester are not that good a side this season.
In fact, Leicester have been average at best this season and their position in 15th place reflects that perfectly. They have the 11th best form over the last 6 league games, the 11th best attack (24 goals scored) from all sides this season and the 11th best defence (31 goals conceded). The major difference between the Leicester of last season and the Leicester of this season is N’Golo Kante who now plays in the blue of Chelsea.
Kante is one of the players who seems to have adapted brilliantly to Antonio Conte’s tactics and is likely to pick up another Premier League winners medal, the first person to ever win two Premier League winners medals in two seasons with different clubs. Diego Costa is another who’s been very effective this season and he’s likely to relish the kind of challenge that Robert Huth and Wes Morgan will provide in this match.
Chelsea are the most improved side this season and Leicester have suffered one of the worst turnarounds in Premier League history. Amusingly they’ve put up the worst defence of a Premier League title since Chelsea, last season.
Chelsea may be the away side but things look bleak for Leicester in this one. They are generally a tougher side at home but I’m still expecting Chelsea to win. At 1.63 with Pinnacle sports, this one is right on the edge of being worthwhile when it comes to betting. In terms of match odds, I’m prepared to play the waiting game and wait for odds of 1.8 or better. That could mean going into the match itself and using “in-play” betting but I’ll be watching this game anyway so that’s not a big imposition.
Another area I’m monitoring is the Both Teams To Score market. This is a very even market right now with the highest odds for “Yes” being at 1.87 and “No” at 2.1. Those odds are not with green listed bookmakers that I would generally use though so again this one is up in the air right now. If I can get 1.85 or better with any of my regular bookies then I’ll go for “Yes”. If not then I’ll be staying out of this one.