Internazionali BNL D’Italia Day 5 Predictions

The action continues in Rome with the Internazionali BNL D’Italia 3rd round taking place this Thursday. Bookmakers Review breaks down the fixture below and lists the best available odds from green listed bookmakers.

 

ATP Rome – Thiem vs. Querrey

Sam Querrey continues his brilliant run in Rome. Despite his disappointing 2 – 7 career record on this event before this year’s edition, Querrey is already in the 3rd round after two straight sets victories over Lucas Pouille and Jan-Lennard Struff. Known as one of the best servers on the ATP World Tour, Sam reaches this stage of the competition with impressive stats on serve – 95.50% service games won and 0.95 aces per service game.

Playing on clay brings the best out of Dominic Thiem with a phenomenal 83.33% winning streak on this surface in 2017. After reaching his first Masters 1000 Final in Madrid last week, Dominic is looking for another successful journey in Rome. Looking now at Thiem’s campaign on this event, the Austrian booked a place in the 3rd round after a 7 – 6 6 – 4 victory over Pablo Cuevas.

This will be the 3rd career meeting between these two players. Curiously, their two previous encounters took place in Acapulco with Thiem winning the first last year while Sam got his revenge earlier this season.

Due to Dominic’s astonishing results on this surface, he’s the undeniable favourite to win this match at 1/5 with William Hill. Even though we agree with Thiem’s favouritism, it’s impossible to find any value on his current tennis betting odds. On the other hand, Pinnacle offers an interesting 431/100 for Querrey’s victory. Despite the value on Sam’s moneyline, the Over 21.5 at 43/50 is definitely the best betting approach for this contest.

 

WTA Rome – Bacsinszky vs. Pliskova

For the first time in her career, Karolina Pliskova won a match in Rome. Famous for her powerful serve, the slower court conditions on this event are far from ideal for her game style. However, the courts seem to be quite faster this season when compared to recent years. Karolina’s numbers on her debut against Lauren Davis are a perfect example of that with the Czech not allowing a single break of serve and winning 94.74% of the points with her first serve.

After a slow start to 2017, Timea Bacsinszky is slowly returning to her best level. Playing in Rome brings great memories to Bacsinszky with the Swiss just one win away from reaching the quarter-finals for the 2nd consecutive year. When looking at Timea’s numbers throughout the week, the highlight definitely goes to her return to serve with the former world no.9 winning 58.80% of her opponents’ service games.

These two players are no strangers with each of them winning two of their previous four encounters.

This match is scheduled for 9:00 PM local time, which means that the game conditions should be much slower than during the day. Despite Karolina’s outstanding performance in the

previous round, it won’t be easy for the Czech to win free points on serve. With this in mind, Timea deserves to be the slight favourite for this match at 17/20 with BetVictor while Pinnacle offers 53/50 for Pliskova’s triumph.

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