Two big nights of football action will soon be upon us, and the Champions League Round of 16 should not disappoint.
I’ve got a little something for each of the matches this week, sometimes in markets I do my usual work in, and sometimes in a market a little bit more “exotic.”
First a look at Tuesday's action.
Basel vs. Manchester City
Although I think we’ll see a clear winner in Manchester City here, I don’t like the odds on the away win and the handicaps don’t give me that warm and fuzzy feeling.
The anytime goalscorer market is somewhere I think we can make a profit, though. With his red-hot goalscoring form there is no way Sergio Aguero won’t be starting this one, and you can pick him up as an anytime goalscorer at odds of 1.8 with Ladbrokes and William Hill. You can even go a little bit further and get 1.83 with Paddy Power.
Juventus vs. Tottenham
This should be a hard tactical battle and I am not expecting a lot of goals. There are injury problems for the home side with at least three big names likely to miss this one. Spurs should be boasting a close to fully fit squad, but central defender Toby Alderweireld won’t be playing (probably more likely to get minutes in the FA Cup at the weekend) and that weakens Spurs overall.
I’m on "under" 1.5 goals in this one at odds of 3 with BetFair. These are two good defenses and although I can maybe see one goal happening, I can’t see two.
On to Wednesday night's games, and we should see a bit more competitive action in this one.
Real Madrid vs. Paris Saint Germain
This is a match where I fancy the upset. At odds of 2.85 (Pinnacle) there is some value on the younger, faster, side getting themselves ahead in this match. Even if that happens I think it can be turned over in the reverse as Real Madrid has fantastic quality on the occasion they pull everything together.
FC Porto vs. Liverpool
Liverpool does not hold back in their attacking play and I think that could be both their greatest hope and also, potentially, their biggest weakness.
I like "Both Teams To Score" but the odds are too low. I even quite like "Both Teams To Score in Both Halves" but that might be a bit crazy even for me. Instead I’m going for the one bet of the night that looks like easy money, and that is Mohammed Salah to score at any time. You can get odds of 2.63 on that with Paddy Power and 2.5 with Betfair. All of those are good bets in my eyes, so take any of them that you can.
I don’t think too much will be decided in this round of games but it could lead to some hugely interesting second-leg matches.