Tanko's Massive MLB Card for 8/30/22

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
32,035
I don't know why but I feel like I'm at a dessert buffet looking over the MLB card today. I usually try to limit myself to a few plays a day (you know money management stuff) but today, I just can't help it. This is a pretty big MLB card for me for one day.

There are too many plays to write up each one.
You know the routine. My picks are based on (not in order of importance):
  1. Starting pitching (recent performance most weighted) and pitcher/batter history.
  2. Batting (recent batting heavily weighted)
  3. Recent rpg peformance. Looking for a Δ of 2+ rpg between teams.
  4. Relief pitching comparisons
  5. +/- Unit performance when playing at Rd/Hm for the season and for the last week or two.
  6. Teams w/ momentum (or not).... win or losing streaks.
  7. For run lines, I look at how much they outscore or if they are outscored at home or on the road for the season. Usually apply RL when juice is high and if the historical scoring data supports the run line play.
  8. blah, blah, blah
Not every game meets every criteria. There's subjectivity.
These are games I see value on with the given odds. I can guarantee not all will win but, I hope they do.
 
Last edited:

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
32,035
Nothing in the Baltimore game tank?
Well, I have plays on 8 out of 15 games. I thought that was enough. :lmao:

A lot of stats say Cleveland but one thing that scares the hell out of me with going against Baltimore is they are the best DOG road team this year (+9 units) and its not even close.

Also, Cleveland outscores opponents +1.8 rpg as Home Favs. That is a big number, 4th in MLB to Mets, Cards, Dodgers.

So I passed on that one.
 

lemartinsports

Joined
Jan 4, 2022
Messages
11,848
You know the routine. My picks are based on (not in order of importance):
  1. Starting pitching (recent performance most weighted) and pitcher/batter history.
  2. Batting (recent batting heavily weighted)
  3. Recent rpg peformance. Looking for a Δ of 2+ rpg between teams.
  4. Relief pitching comparisons
  5. +/- Unit performance when playing at Rd/Hm for the season and for the last week or two.
  6. Teams w/ momentum (or not).... win or losing streaks.
  7. For run lines, I look at how much they outscore or if they are outscored at home or on the road for the season. Usually apply RL when juice is high and if the historical scoring data supports the run line play.
  8. blah, blah, blah
this alone is helpful info T. thank you and good luck!

i said i was going to avoid mlb today but i'm likin your two dog plays (KC & Detroit ML).....
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
41,207
Well, I have plays on 8 out of 15 games. I thought that was enough. :lmao:

A lot of stats say Cleveland but one thing that scares the hell out of me with going against Baltimore is they are the best DOG road team this year (+9 units) and its not even close.

Also, Cleveland outscores opponents +1.8 rpg as Home Favs. That is a big number, 4th in MLB to Mets, Cards, Dodgers.

So I passed on that one.
Good point 😂
 
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