Sports Betting Service Plays - Sunday 11/2/21

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 8:20PM
476 LAC -3.5 (-110)BetOnline vs 475 PIT double-dime bet

Analysis: -4 is fine. I am at -5.5 with Watt/Fitzpatrick and likely Big Ben out
 

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 1:00PM
465 HOU +10.5 (-110)Southpoint vs 466 TEN single-dime bet

Analysis:
This is a play against the Titans. Titans are in a flat spot after just playing 5 high leverage games against above average teams, and in 10 quarters with Tyrod as the Texans quarterback, Houston is actually +8 in point differential this season.

The titans offense is struggling and I don’t believe this roster is very good due to all of their injuries. The Titans have a league high 20 players on injured reserve. Although it was against good competition in the Rams and Saints, the Titans offense has had a putrid 3.5 and 4.6 YPP over their two games without Henry. Their offensive line over their last three games has been rated as the leagues worst according to PFF pass protection grades.


The Titans have had a gain of 20+ yards only once every 24 plays this season, worst in the league. I flat out just don’t trust what I consider to be an average team to cover this margin.
 

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Green Bay Monster Sports with a 50 dime 6 pt tease play Vikings + 9.5 / Tampa Bay -2.5 . They are 13-3 last 16 releases and 8-2 on this site since posting plays + 295 dimes and 1-0 on prop plays + 5 dimes .
 

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HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 1:00PM
MIN/SEA

(-120)Bookmaker 467 GBP vs 468 MIN double-dime bet

Analysis: 2* 6 PT TEASER: Vikings +8/Seahawks +8.5 -120
 

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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 1:00PM
Jimmy G U

(-105)William Hill 453 SFX vs 454 JAC single-dime bet

Analysis:
Jimmy Garrapolo (SF) U30.5 Pass Attempts -105 (Consensus)


If you can't get to U30.5 pass attempts, U21.5 completions or 246.5 pass yards is an okay alternate.
 

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HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 4:25PM
471 ARI / 472 SEA UNDER 48.5 Southpointdouble-dime bet

Analysis: With Wilson banged up and possibly not 100%, Murray not 100% (he has a history of not playing great when not fully healthy) , Hopkins likely out, and Pete Carroll saying Seattle needs to run the ball more.. we just have to many factors pointing us to the under in this one.
 

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HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 4:25PM
471 ARI / 472 SEA UNDER 48.5 Southpointdouble-dime bet

Analysis: With Wilson banged up and possibly not 100%, Murray not 100% (he has a history of not playing great when not fully healthy) , Hopkins likely out, and Pete Carroll saying Seattle needs to run the ball more.. we just have to many factors pointing us to the under in this one.
 

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 8:20PM
476 LAC -3.5 (-110)BetOnline vs 475 PIT double-dime bet

Analysis: -4 is fine. I am at -5.5 with Watt/Fitzpatrick and likely Big Ben out
 

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Colin's Blazin 5 ( 4-1 LW) Colts + 7, Minnesota + 1 , Saints + 2 , Seattle + 1.5 Pittsburgh + 6
 

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HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Nov 21 2021 1:00PM
463 NOS / 464 PHI UNDER 43.5 Westgatedouble-dime bet

Analysis:

Leaned under to begin with, and the Saints offensive injury report is going to cause this number to go down IMO.
 

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Clay Travis -OutKick NFL Six Pack. 36-25 record

Lions +10 at Browns
Colts +7.5 at Bills
Saints at Eagles, the under 43.5
Packers at Vikings, the over 49
Bengals -1 at Raiders
Cowboys at Chiefs -2.5
 

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SportsLine Projection Model

Browns 29, Lions 19
49ers 27, Jaguars 18
Bills 29, Colts 19
Dolphins 24, Jets 18
Panthers 26, Washington 19
Ravens 25, Bears 19
Saints 22, Eagles 20
Titans 32, Texans 16
Packers 24, Vikings 23
Raiders 28, Bengals 26
Cardinals 22, Seahawks 20
Chiefs 27, Cowboys 26
Steelers 22, Chargers 22
 

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CIRCA CONSENSUS PICKS - WEEK 11​

The Circa Sports Book in Las Vegas showcases its Million II contest with 4,037 entries. Here are the top five teams picked for Week 11.

1) INDIANAPOLIS +7 (1,155)
2) MINNESOTA +1.5 (1,128)
3) BALTIMORE -4.5 (1,107)
4) MIAMI -3 (1,076)
5) SEATTLE +2 (1,050)​

 

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