Service Plays - Wednesday 8/11/21

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Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Dr. Chuck

Game: (929) Colorado Rockies at (930) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Aug 11 2021 2:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Under 9.0 (-110) A Senzatela (RHP), F Valdez (LHP) Must Start
34-11 Run with one of our TOP MLB systems….with just 1 single fit on this fine HUMPDAY….but is also worthy of playing at 5 or 10 Units if you get this at 9!!
ROI ALL TIME is +42% …..INSANE trend for a team agnostic trend…INSANE
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Stephen Oh

MIAMI @ SAN DIEGO | 08/11 | 4:10 PM EDT
UNDER 8
ANALYSIS: Season finale between these clubs. Looks to be a solid pitching matchup -- and quick turnaround games usually benefit pitchers -- between Miami's Sandy Alcantara (3.70 ERA) and San Diego's Ryan Weathers (1.29 ERA during day games). Around 63 percent of my model simulations forecast this matchup landing Under 8 runs.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Matt Severance

N.Y. YANKEES @ KANSAS CITY | 08/11 | 2:10 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: The wind will be blowing out at approximately 15 mph at Kauffman Stadium so I expect this original total of 9.5 to rise. The Yankees will use an opener in Lucas Luetge, meaning plenty of other relievers will see action and that bullpen is really thin/struggling right now. It's Brady Singer for the Royals, and he has a 5.05 home ERA. The first two games of this series have each seen at least 12 runs.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Larry Hartstein

MIAMI @ SAN DIEGO | 08/11 | 4:10 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -153
ANALYSIS: This is a very reasonable price on the host Padres, who are 40-23 at home. Sandy Alcantara has been a bright spot for Miami this season but lately has struggled, posting a 7.02 ERA over his last three starts. Look for San Diego to send the Marlins to their sixth straight loss.

COLORADO @ HOUSTON | 08/11 | 2:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Rockies have lost all seven of Antonio Senzatela's road starts (6.03 ERA). They're 13-41 on the road after Tuesday's 5-0 loss in Houston. This is Senzatela's second start since coming off the COVID-19 injured list. When he leaves, the Rockies' bullpen and its 5.42 ERA will take over. Framber Valdez gets the start for Houston; he has not allowed a homer in his last three starts and owns a solid 3.40 ERA at home. Play Houston -1.5 runs at -125.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Matt Severance

FEATURED PICK
CHI. WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA | 08/11 | 1:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +1.5
ANALYSIS: No Luis Robert, Yoan Moncada or Tim Anderson in the lineup for Chicago; on the mound, the White Sox were to start Lance Lynn, who is 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA in day games this year and 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four outings vs. the Twins. However, he was a late scratch -- not injury-related but to use him Thursday in the Field of Dreams game -- in favor of Reynaldo Lopez. Downgrade obviously. Minnesota's Bailey Ober has allowed three earned or fewer in four straight. I like the Twins on the runline now that Lynn is out, a few regulars are resting and maybe the Pale Hose are looking ahead to Thursday's very unique game vs. the Yankees.

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John Bollman

TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 08/11 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY +105
ANALYSIS: The Red Sox have been seriously struggling as they fell to a season high five games back of first place yesterday. They face Josh Fleming, and the Red Sox tend to struggle against lefties. The Rays hit righties much better and they should have a more favorable matchup than last night’s lefty with Nate Eovaldi. Eovaldi has seriously struggled his past couple starts and he allowed six runs in 5.1 IP to the Rays two starts ago. Fleming allowed just three runs in five innings against the Red Sox two starts ago and the Rays have won five straight, take the Rays.

CHI. WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA | 08/11 | 1:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +162
ANALYSIS: As Severance pointed out, the White Sox are sitting multiple key players including their original starting pitcher in Lance Lynn in favor of the Field of Dreams game tomorrow. The Yankees are doing something similar, so I think this is a good spot to fade both Field of Dreams teams at plus money and hope to come out positive. Bailey Ober has weirdly faced the White Sox four times already this season but Reynaldo Lopez shouldn't get too deep into the game as he is not stretched out. Take the Twins as home underdogs.

N.Y. YANKEES @ KANSAS CITY | 08/11 | 2:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +125
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are going with a bullpen game today but most notably the Yankees are missing many key starters the day before the Field of Dreams game. Gary Sanchez, Anthony Rizzo, Gleyber Torres, and Gio Urshela are all out of the lineup for various different reasons. Brady Singer is coming off the IL and he didn’t pitch well against the Yankees in his first start against them but this is a much easier lineup to navigate. The Yankees are only 23-19 as road favorites while the Royals are 13-13 as home underdogs. The Royals are actually much better at home at 29-26.
 
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