Service Plays - Thursday 7/8/21

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Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Jun 12, 2021
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5,091
Larry Hartstein

MILWAUKEE @ PHOENIX | 07/08 | 9:00 PM EDT
PHOENIX -5.5
ANALYSIS: Going to run it back with the Suns. They've now covered the past four meetings with Milwaukee, and they're an amazing 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games. Consider that the Bucks outshot the Suns from the 3-point line (44.4 percent to 32.4 percent) and still lost Game 1 by double digits. Beyond the brilliance of Chris Paul and Devin Booker, DeAndre Ayton (22 points, 19 rebounds) is the X-factor Milwaukee has no answer for. Lay the points.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
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41,144
Stephen Oh

COLORADO @ ARIZONA | 07/08 | 3:40 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: This opened with a fairly high total of 9.5 runs, but nearly 70 percent of my model simulations lean Over that number with the average final score totaling around 11.7 runs. Both projected starting pitchers have ERAs of at least 5.25 on the season. The Over is 13-6 in the Diamondbacks' past 19 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

L.A. DODGERS @ MIAMI | 07/08 | 12:10 PM EDT
MIAMI +1.5
ANALYSIS: These teams finish their series with a very quick turnaround from Wednesday night, and it should be a good pitchers' duel between the Dodgers' Julio Urias and the Marlins' Sandy Alcantara. My model actually does lean Over the 7.5 runs, however. But the Grade A pick is Miami +1.5 at -130 as it covers in 66 percent of simulations.
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Messages
5,091
Matt Severance

L.A. DODGERS @ MIAMI | 07/08 | 12:10 PM EDT
MIAMI +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers have burned me twice already this week -- despite being tied in the ninth inning of both losses -- so I'm not about to pick them to win outright again. They are sitting Justin Turner and AJ Pollock today as they try to avoid the four-game sweep. Julio Urias (10-3, 3.81) is certainly good enough to beat the Marlins, but they start the very good Sandy Alcantara (5-7, 2.96). He has been a bit better at home and great (1.51 ERA) in day games. Marlins at -125 on the runline is the play.
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,091
John Bollman

L.A. DODGERS @ MIAMI | 07/08 | 12:10 PM EDT
MIAMI +143
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers have lost the first three games of this series and they have looked very beatable while doing it. They came into this series on a nine game winning streak but the last three games have been close and their defense and bullpen has let them down. Justin Turner is getting the day off for the Dodgers while the Marlins have their normal lineup starting. Sandy Alcantara is much better at home. The Dodgers are streaky and they head home after the game, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Marlins get the sweep.
 
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