Play Rating: E units
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -4.0 (-110)
The Bucks are going back home with their back against the wall.
Phoenix hit 20-of-40 3s in game 2 and won the game by 10.
I expect Holiday and Middleton to show up and Milwaukee to take game 3 at home.
Take the Bucks.
N.Y. YANKEES @ HOUSTON | 07/10 | 7:15 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -105
ANALYSIS: AL Cy Young betting favorite Gerrit Cole (8-4, 2.91), a former Astro, has not been quite the same since the "sticky stuff" has been checked. Granted. However, you are not getting him again at even money -- frankly, the thought of that entering the season, barring a matchup with Jacob deGrom, was unthinkable. So while I think Cole is a tad overrated, I can't not take this. He's also on extra rest. I'll take my chances against an Astros lineup that suddenly has gone cold and is without Carlos Correa.
PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON | 07/10 | 4:10 PM EDT
ANALYSIS: A couple of my colleagues nailed the Over in Game 1 of this series, and I'm just guessing this will be another shootout with a total of 11 -- we never used to see that number outside of Denver (now we do in Baltimore, too). Not a huge total guy, but we backed Boston on the ML in Game 1 vs. Philly and will do again here. Slight lean on Martin Perez over Matt Moore in a matchup of lefties but more home/away splits. Also, Boston is five games above .500 vs. southpaws, the Phils are five games under. Sometimes it is checkers, not chess.
ATLANTA @ MIAMI | 07/10 | 4:10 PM EDT
ANALYSIS: Miami’s Trevor Rogers has been great at keeping the Under in play this season as he not allowed more than three runs in any of this 17 starts. Pitching at home, Rodgers should do a nice job of keeping this a low-scoring game. Miami got nothing going yesterday in a 5-0 loss. The Under is 8-0 since Sept. 24, 2020 when the Marlins are not -125 or greater favorites after they lost by at least five runs in the last game.
7:15 PM EST
Cubs -120 over Cardinals
The Cubs put up a 10 spot last night and I believe they will be hot with the bats again as they are good at hitting lefties and hit the ball well at home. The Cardinals are not good at hitting the ball on the road against left handers. Zach Davies should do enough to lead his team to the win. Take the Cubs.
Joe DAmicos IL GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (979) Philadelphia Phillies at (980) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: Jul 10 2021 4:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Boston Red Sox -159 M Moore (LHP), M Perez (LHP) Must Start
Boston has won four of the last five meetings with Philly, including three of the four in 2021. Moore (0-1, 5.60) is 4-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) vs. the Red Sox. Perez (7-4, 3.89) has allowed two or less runs in 11 of his last 14 starts. The Red Sox have won his last four turns. The Phillies are outclassed in this matchup, both on the mound and at the plate. And things go from bad to worse for the team when they hit the road where they are a dismal, 18-28 this season. The Phillies are 6-15 L21 at the Red Sox, 4-11 L15 vs. the AL East, and 0-5 L5 IL road games. The Red sox are 11-3 L14 overall, 18-6 L24 at home, and 5-0 L5 IL games vs. LH starters. Take Boston. Thank you.