Service Plays - Monday 8/16/21

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Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Stephen Oh

CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 08/16 | 8:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -130
ANALYSIS: My model says the Twins win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with them at this number. Cleveland lost four of five before trouncing Detroit on Sunday, but Minnesota has won four of five after taking two of three from Tampa Bay over the weekend. Twins rookie RHP Griffin Jax has won back-to-back starts and allowed three runs or fewer in four straight. He also notched his first major-league victory against Cleveland on June 25. Take the Twins.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Tokyo Brandon

(963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Tampa Bay Rays
Game: (963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -0.5 (-118) M Harvey (RHP), C Mchugh (RHP) Must Start
Matt Harvey is actually not as bad as his numbers. But on the road with a team rolling since the Nelson Cruz acquisition, added to the fact that the Rays bat #3 vs RHP and that makes this a 2% play on the first 5 run line.

(967) Cleveland Indians at (968) Minnesota Twins
Game: (967) Cleveland Indians at (968) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.5 (-118) C Quantrill (RHP), G Jax (RHP) Must Start
Jax and Quantrill both have been excellent lately. Jax has bad numbers but most of those were gained early in the season. These two SPs are dealing and neither lineup is hot by any means. 5.5 is really high, take the Under 5.5 1st 5 innings.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
Messages
1,218
Andrew McInnis
Play: Minnesota Twins ML (-123)
Rating: E

The Indians take on the twins in Monday action; this is an excellent spot for the Twins as they have dominated Cleveland as of late, winning eight of the last nine matchups at home in Minnesota and 5-2 in the last seven overall.
Cleveland blew it up at the trade deadline; they're 5-9 since and have fallen out of the wildcard race completely. Although Minnesota's record isn’t excellent, the team includes a large portion of the roster that had made the playoffs over the last two years, and they're averaging the fourth-most home runs per game in the major league (1.44) with a .746 OPS at the plate. This game is all about the ability of Jorge Polanco and company to pound Cal Quantrill’s pitches with their bats. Quantrill gave up six hits and six earned runs in only 4.1 innings of work when he stared down the Twins’ lineup back in late June. The Twins have the power to extend the lousy week vibes going on in the Indians organization. Quintrell is averaging seven hits against per game, and if that happens again, some of those homers the twins hit could result in some big innings.
Sure, the Indians had a solid win against the improved Tigers Sunday night, but this is an entirely different match-up and one that they've struggled with on the road. I don't see Jax having a tough time with the Indians lineup that, besides one massive outburst, has worked to put up runs consistently. The twins are 7-3 in their last ten overall; rookie Griffin Jax is on the mound; despite his Era not being the prettiest, he's given up only one earned run in 3 of his last four outings. The fact is, this is a generous price on the Twins, they are much better than their record indicates, and they've proven it over their last two-week stretch by competing and defeating against division-leading teams like the Rays, White Sox & Astros
PLAY THE HOME TEAM. TAKE THE TWINS.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
41,144
MLB(Bob Balfe)
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #969
A’s -110 over White Sox
Montas/Keuchel
The A’s have been a little better against left handed pitching this year and their batting average is up when on the road compared to at home. Dallas Keuchel is not the strikeout pitcher that he once was and I believe the A’s are well equipped to knock him around tonight. Frankie Montas has cut down on his walks and beefed up his strikeouts per 9 innings and is the better of the two pitchers this season. Take the A’s.
 
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