Service Plays - Monday 7/19/21


Matt Severance

N.Y. METS @ CINCINNATI | 07/19 | 7:10 PM EDT
ANALYSIS: This would normally be Jacob deGrom's spot in the rotation for the Mets, but the Cy Young heavy favorite is on the injured list (as is star shortstop Francisco Lindor). Thus, it's fade time with Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 4.97). In his lone road start, he was knocked around for five runs in D.C. The Mets aren't very good on the road as it is. Reds pitcher Vladimir Gutierrez has had back-to-back quality starts.


Stephen Oh

ANALYSIS: My model says the Dodgers win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Los Angeles has had the upper hand against the Giants this year, winning six of the nine contests. San Francisco was held to one run in each of its back-to-back losses at St. Louis over the weekend and scored a total of three times in a pair of defeats at Los Angeles late last month. Expect the Dodgers to maintain control of the season series.


Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)

Audax Italiano - Huachipato
Chile, Primera Division, 00:00 CET (Jul 20) / 6:00 PM ET
2.4 Units: Huachipato +0.5 -135


Insider Sports Report
D* Chicago White Sox (Lynn) -1.5 runs +105 over Minnesota (Jax)
Range: +120 to -120
C* Boston (Pivetta)/Toronto (Stripling) OVER 10
Range: 9.5 to 10.5

National Sports Service
D* Houston (Greinke) -1.5 runs -120 over Cleveland (Mejia)
C* Texas (Gibson)/Detroit (Mize) UNDER 8.5

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Lynn) -1.5 runs +105 over Minnesota (Jax)
C Unit --> Boston (Pivetta) +105 over Toronto (Stripling)


Kyle Akins

ANALYSIS: This line represents one of the two highest to which the Dodgers have played at home all season. Despite facing a strong starter in San Francisco RHP Kevin Gausman, Los Angeles still has a greater advantage in this game. The Dodgers are coming off a frustrating 6-5 extra-inning loss at Colorado. In a back-and-forth contest, the Rockies scored first before Los Angeles took the lead on three separate occasions. Since May 6, 2019, the Dodgers are 7-0 at home after a game in which their opponent scored first and Los Angeles moved ahead before going on to lose.


Matt Severance

CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 07/19 | 8:15 PM GMT
ST. LOUIS +1.5
ANALYSIS: As of this moment, the Cardinals are moneyline underdogs (may not stay that way) and I frankly don't think they should be dogs at home in this matchup -- the Cubbies are 12 games under .500 on the road plus had to travel from Arizona on Sunday night. No travel for St. Louis. The starting pitching matchup is rather blah: Alec Mills vs. Jake Woodford. Maybe Chicago will win, but it most likely will not be by more than a run, so we will grab St. Louis on the runline. The Cubs have dropped their past five Monday games. The Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.

TEXAS @ DETROIT | 07/19 | 7:10 PM GMT
ANALYSIS: This total already has dropped to 8 at some books so we'll jump now -- doesn't look like the winds will be a factor. It's ace Kyle Gibson (6-1, 2.29) on the bump for Texas. His ERA in night games is 1.76. Former No. 1 overall pick Casey Mize is on the bump for the Tigers (3-3, 3.59). He's on an innings limit so may not go more than five, but it should be a strong five. The Under is 8-3-1 in the Tigers' last 12 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.


Larry Hartstein

ANALYSIS: Lance Lynn owns a 1.59 ERA in three starts versus Minnesota this season, and he should be motivated to prove his worth after signing a huge contract extension over the weekend. Twins rookie Griffin Jax is making just his second start, and the first didn't go well: five innings, eight hits, six earned runs vs. K.C. Even though this is a 7-inning game, I'll still lay 1.5 runs with the White Sox at -110.

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