Service Plays - Friday 8/20/21

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Tokyo Brandon

Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304111) Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: E%
Play: 1H Yomiuri Giants -0.5 (-118)
Yamaguchi is as solid a SP as they come and the Giants have been tearing the cover off the ball since the Olympic break. Yokohama SP Kyoyama is awful. His ERA is 7+, his WHIP is 2.36 and his FIP is 6.74. Yomiuri ranks better in 1st 5 hitting and Kyoyama has a 6.75 ERA vs Yomiuri this season. Take Yomiuri on the 1st 5 run line -0.5 or -1.
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Tokyo Brandon

304107) Yakult Swallows at (304108) Hiroshima Carp
Game: (304107) Yakult Swallows at (304108) Hiroshima Carp
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: C%
Play: 1H Yakult Swallows -110
Yakult has the SP and lineup advantages here and they are the best 1st 5 team in the league. SP Taguchi is shaky but pretty good the first time through the lineup. Kuri is shaky all the time and got whacked by Yakult last time out. With this power lineup take Yakult first five money line.
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Adam Trigger

Game: (405) Cincinnati Bengals at (406) Washington Football Team
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Play Rating: E%
Play: Washington Football Team -4.5 (-110)
Washington (8PM ET NFL Network) – The Broncos jumped ahead and never looked back as they hammered the Vikings 33-6 to give us a split on our Week 1 NFL Preseason plays. I expect to be more active in Week 2 and Week 3 now that I’ve gotten a chance to see each team play once and I’m going to lock in my first move of NFLX Week 2 and up this one to a 5% MAX BET when the Washington Football Team host the Cincinnati Bengals at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland.

Washington was the team I lost within my 1-1 split of NFLX Week 1 but a lot of that had to do with the Patriots second unit being way better than I expected and, even with everything that transpired, Washington was a dropped 2 point conversion away from having a great chance to get out with a tie (push) in that game. The Bengals 2’s and 3’s aren’t close to as good as the Patriots and we are going to see starters play more here which gives a huge advantage to Washington. I also think Washington will benefit from the starters getting extended time as Washington led the Patriots at halftime and would have been up more had Dustin Hopkins been able to make a field goal. Cincinnati was impressive in their Week 1 win over the Bucs but it was their second unit that did the damage against a Bucs team that barely played their notable players and was clearly uninterested in that game. I think we are going to see Week 2 and 3 play out more like real games, in a real game Washington hammers this Bengals team and I think winning by five or more is likely for the Football Team here.

The most notable absentee for Cincinnati in Week 1 was quarterback Joe Burrow and I’ll be shocked if he steps on the field here. If Burrow does play it won’t be for more than a series so it’s going to be Brandon Allen and Kyle Shurmur against a Washington 1st and 2nd team defense that will be far tougher than facing the Bucs backups like they did last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting quarterback for Washington this season but he should play more than he did in Week 1 and behind him is a very capable backup in Taylor Heinicke that started the playoff game for Washington last season. Heinicke is my favorite type of quarterback to back in NFLX because he will be in against the Bengals reserves and he’s a scrappy playmaker that will get outside the pocket and make something out of nothing. Teams tend to run vanilla offense in the preseason so a quarterback that is a little creative and can make plays goes a long way. Behind Heinicke is Steven Montez who struggled in his first couple series against the Patriots but settled in and led a touchdown drive that, had the 2-point attempt not been dropped, would have tied the game. The Bengals reserve defense should be far easier for Montez to navigate and leading that touchdown drive should give Montez the confidence he lacked at the beginning of his shift in New England last week. Washington is the more complete team here, they have an advantage top to bottom at the quarterback position and I think the loss to the Patriots compels Washington to take this one more seriously which should be enough to have Washington see out this win.

I typically won't lay points in NFL preseason games but I’ve got Washington favored in the 6-7 point range so I’ll make an exception here. I’m sky high on Washington this season, I think Football Team is going to win the NFC East and take a step forward from last season where they backed into the playoffs by default. Washington has a Top 5 defense in the league and there’s depth which, of course, is integral to success in the preseason. Cincinnati is -360 to finish in last place in the AFC North and I’ve seen their season win total anywhere from 5.5 to 6.5 wins so even on the high end the Bengals are likely a bottom feeder again this season and worth opposing off of a fluke win now that they will have to deal with a far better first team for an extended period of time in this game.

Finally, Tampa Bay probably comes back and wins last week if Kyle Trask isn’t dreadful in the 4th quarter so I think that result has a lot more to do with how poorly the Bucs 2’s and 3’s played than it does Cincinnati actually being any good. Washington played fine but lost on the road to what looks to be a very deep Patriots team. This is a step down for Washington, it’s in D.C. and I think Football Team rolls by a lot more than the number.
Play on Washington -4.5 for 5% (or 5 units)
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Tokyo Brandon

304117) Chiba Lotte Marines at (304118) Fukuoka S. Hawks
Game: (304117) Chiba Lotte Marines at (304118) Fukuoka S. Hawks
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: Total Under 7.0 (-110)
One great SP, two great bullpens, one bad lineup. It all lines up for an under. My numbers have this at 6.4. Just hope Futaki can hold SoftBank down for the first 4-5 innings without getting blown up. Last outing against them he allowed only 2 in 7.
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
JM Sports

Game: (403) Kansas City Chiefs at (404) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Play Rating: D units
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -152
Money LIne D units KC -152 Arizona Friday 8 PM ET on Espn
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Matt Severance

ARIZONA @ COLORADO | 08/20 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -160
ANALYSIS: These teams are equally putrid on the road -- literally the same record away -- but Colorado is a monster at home. It also was off Thursday, while Arizona had to use closer Taylor Clarke for 26 pitches to hold off the Phillies, so he's probably out. Rox starter Austin Gomber has a 1.70 home ERA. He's countered by Mr. Shocking No-Hitter Tyler Gilbert. Tend to think things will go a tad differently in his second big-league start -- first start after no-hitters, many pitchers really struggle because of that previous high pitch count -- and first in Denver.
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Insider Sports Report
D* Atlanta (Fried) -1.5 runs -140 over Baltimore (Akin)
Range: -125 to -165
C* Chicago White Sox (Giolito) -115 over Tampa Bay (Wacha)
Range: +100 to -140
C* Cincinnati/Washington UNDER 35 (NFL)
Range: 37 to 33

National Sports Service
D* Oakland (Kaprielian) -115 over San Francisco (Wood)
C* Kansas City -3 over Arizona (NFL)

Primetime Sports Picks
E Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Giolito) -115 over Tampa Bay (Wacha)
C Unit --> Kansas City/Arizona OVER 41 (NFL)
C Unit --> Arizona (Gilbert) +145 over Colorado (Gombert)

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Atlanta (Fried) -1.5 runs -140 over Baltimore (Akin)
C★ Arizona +3 over Kansas City (NFL)
 

Jackofhearts

Moderator
Totals 4 U

2021 NFL Preseason Week 2 Watch & Win Total of the Year!!!!!
Kansas City/Arizona under 41

NFL Football Bonus Winners
Cincinnati/Washington under 35
 

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